Opinion_polling_for_the_2019_Indian_general_election

Opinion polling for the 2019 Indian general election

Opinion polling for the 2019 Indian general election

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In the run up to the Indian general election, 2019, various organisations carried out opinion polls to gauge voting intention in India. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the Jan 2018 to April 2019. Many organisations have gone on to conduct exit polls and post-poll surveys as well, which too are displayed.

Background

Opinion polls in India can be controversial. These charges include partisan manipulation.[1]

Opinion poll methodology has heavily improved and agencies like CSDS have got it absolutely correct on 16 occasions, roughly correct on 7 occasions and wrong on 4 occasions.[2]

Post-poll surveys, widely published, are fundamentally different from opinion polls.[3]

Opinion polling

Number of seats projected in opinion polls per alliance over time.
Indian General Election Trends - 2019

Various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in India. The results of such polls are displayed in this list. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held in April and May 2014, to the present day. The ECI banned the release of exit polls from 11 April to 19 May, the last phase of the elections.[4] The commission also banned the publication or broadcast in the media of predictions made by astrologers and tarot card readers.[5]

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Vote share

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Polling on politicians

Next Prime Minister

Narendra Modi vs Rahul Gandhi

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Narendra Modi vs Priyanka Gandhi Vadra

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Best Alternative to Narendra Modi amongst the Opposition leaders in 2019 Election

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Approval ratings

Economic performance; compared to previous government

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Issues

Key Issues

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Farm distress; Low crop causing farm distress

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Jobs; Enough created

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Alleged corruption in Rafale deal

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Statewise opinion polling

Andhra Pradesh (25)

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Arunachal Pradesh (2)

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Assam (14)

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Bihar (40)

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Chhattisgarh (11)

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Goa (2)

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Gujarat (26)

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Haryana (10)

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Himachal Pradesh (4)

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Jammu and Kashmir (6)

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Jharkhand (14)

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Karnataka (28)

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Kerala (20)

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Madhya Pradesh (29)

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Maharashtra (48)

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Manipur (2)

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Meghalaya (2)

Mizoram (1)

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Nagaland (1)

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Odisha (21)

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Punjab (13)

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Rajasthan (25)

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Sikkim (1)

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Tamil Nadu (39)

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  • AIADMK is part of NDA alliance in Tamil Nadu.

Telangana (17)

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Tripura (2)

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Uttar Pradesh (80)

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Uttarakhand (5)

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West Bengal (42)

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Union territories

Andaman and Nicobar Islands (1)

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Chandigarh (1)

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Dadra and Nagar Haveli (1)

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Daman and Diu (1)

Lakshadweep (1)

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Puducherry (1)

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NCT of Delhi (7)

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See also


References

  1. Karandikar, Rajeeva (2 April 2014). "Power and Limitations of Opinion Polls: My Experiences". The Hindu Center. Retrieved 20 March 2019.
  2. "What exit polls are really about". @businessline. 12 May 2014. Retrieved 20 March 2019.
  3. "Election Commission bans Exit Polls". United News of India. 10 April 2019. Retrieved 11 April 2019.
  4. Today's Chanakya (19 May 2019). "Lok Sabha 2019 Analysis". News24 India.
  5. Suares, Coreena (6 January 2019). "VDP Associates predicts 16 Lok Sabha seats for TRS". Deccan Chronicle.
  6. Ajit Kumar Jha (18 August 2018). "A clash of coalitions". India Today. New Delhi.
  7. Ajit Kumar Jha (4 February 2019). "Mood of the Nation: Will 2019 see the making of a grand alliance?". India Today.
  8. asianetnews (14 April 2019). "Asianet news - AZ research Election opinion survey - Part 2" via YouTube.
  9. "Fate of West Bengal : Spick Media - IE Tech - Fate of Nation survey - Fate of west bengal (august - september, 2018)" (PDF). Img1.wsimg.com. Archived from the original (PDF) on 4 November 2018. Retrieved 26 February 2019.

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