2023_Extremaduran_regional_election

2023 Extremaduran regional election

2023 Extremaduran regional election

Spanish regional election


The 2023 Extremaduran regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 11th Assembly of the autonomous community of Extremadura. All 65 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Quick Facts All 65 seats in the Assembly of Extremadura 33 seats needed for a majority, Registered ...

Overview

Electoral system

The Assembly of Extremadura was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Extremadura, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Extremaduran Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Extremadura and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Spanish: Voto rogado), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote.[2] The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.[3]

The 65 members of the Assembly of Extremadura were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Alternatively, parties failing to reach the threshold in one of the constituencies were also entitled to enter the seat distribution as long as they ran candidates in both districts and reached five percent regionally. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Badajoz and Cáceres, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 25 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[1][4]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Assembly constituency was entitled the following seats:[5]

More information Seats, Constituencies ...

Election date

The term of the Assembly of Extremadura expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Extremadura (DOE), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 26 May 2019, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 26 May 2023. The election decree was required to be published in the DOE no later than 2 May 2023, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 25 June 2023.[1][4][6]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Extremadura and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1]

The election to the Assembly of Extremadura was officially triggered on 4 April 2023 after the publication of the election decree in the Official Journal of Extremadura (DOE), setting the election date for 28 May.[5]

Parliamentary composition

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the time of dissolution.[7][8]

More information Groups, Parties ...

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least two percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[4][6]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

More information Candidacy, Parties and alliances ...

Campaign

Election debates

The only campaign debate was held on May 17 and had the participation of candidates from ten parties, an unusually high number. The PSOE candidate, and current president, Guillermo Fernández Vara, would have refused to participate in a debate that had not include all parties. The People's Party accused him of wanting to "hide" in such a large crowd. The chosen date was also criticized for coinciding with the semifinal of the UEFA Champions League, in which Real Madrid participated, which could reduce the audience for the debate.[16][17]

More information Date, Organisers ...

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Graphical summary

Local regression trend line of poll results from 26 May 2019 to 28 May 2023, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 33 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Extremadura.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Regional Government of Extremadura.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Results

Overall

More information Parties and alliances, Popular vote ...
More information Popular vote ...
More information Seats ...

Distribution by constituency

More information Constituency, PSOE ...

Aftermath

More information Ballot →, 14 July 2023 ...

Notes

  1. Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  2. Vote+Simpathy figures with undecided and/or abstentionists excluded.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. "Elecciones autonómicas: El PP arrebataría al PSOE la Comunidad Valenciana, Castilla-La Mancha y La Rioja". La Razón (in Spanish). 22 May 2023.
  2. "ElectoPanel Autonómico (13M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 13 May 2023.
  3. "ElectoPanel Autonómico (6M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 6 May 2023.
  4. "Vara pierde la mayoría absoluta y necesitará el apoyo de Podemos". El Periódico de Extremadura (in Spanish). 14 May 2023.
  5. "ElectoPanel Autonómico (29A)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 29 April 2023.
  6. "ElectoPanel Autonómico (22A)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 22 April 2023.
  7. "EP Autonómico 8A – comienza el juego". Electomanía (in Spanish). 8 April 2023.
  8. "EP Extremadura (15N): la izquierda mantendría la Junta". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 November 2022.
  9. "Estimación Marzo 2021. Extremadura. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 19 Mar 2021.
  10. "Estimación Mayo 2020. Extremadura. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 18 May 2020.
Other
  1. Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  2. Araque Conde, Pilar (8 June 2022). "El Congreso acaba con el voto rogado: diez años de trabas burocráticas para los residentes en el extranjero". Público (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 31 July 2022.
  3. Ley 2/1987, de 16 de marzo, de Elecciones a la Asamblea de Extremadura (Law 2) (in Spanish). 16 March 1987. Retrieved 17 March 2017.
  4. "Decreto del Presidente 1/2023, de 3 de abril, por el que se convocan elecciones a la Asamblea de Extremadura" (PDF). Diario Oficial de Extremadura (in Spanish) (65): 20847–20848. 4 April 2023. ISSN 2483-5188.
  5. Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 8 April 2023.
  6. "Elecciones a la Asamblea de Extremadura (1983 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 15 August 2019.
  7. "Parliamentary Groups 10th Legislature". www.asambleaex.es (in Spanish). Assembly of Extremadura. Retrieved 27 July 2021.
  8. "Fernández Vara será el candidato del PSOE a la Junta de Extremadura por quinta vez". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 24 June 2022. Retrieved 25 June 2022.
  9. "María Guardiola, única candidata a presidir el PP de Extremadura". Hoy (in Spanish). 20 June 2022. Retrieved 23 June 2022.
  10. "Ciudadanos designa a David Salazar como nuevo coordinador del partido en Extremadura". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 28 September 2020. Retrieved 23 June 2022.
  11. Romero, Rocío (6 February 2023). "Fernando Baselga será finalmente el candidato a la Junta de Extremadura". Hoy (in Spanish). Retrieved 22 February 2023.
  12. "Irene de Miguel repetirá como candidata de Podemos a la presidencia de la Junta". El Periódico de Extremadura (in Spanish). 4 November 2022. Retrieved 19 April 2023.
  13. "Vox designa a Ángel Pelayo como candidato a la Presidencia de Extremadura". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 1 February 2023. Retrieved 22 February 2023.
  14. Asunción, Fernando (2023-05-04). "Elecciones 28-M: Vara evita el 'cara a cara' con el PP y fija un debate a once en plena semifinal de la Champions". Vozpópuli (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-05-18.
  15. "Debate a 10 bandas este miércoles en la televisión pública extremeña" (in Spanish). Onda Cero. 17 May 2023. Retrieved 18 May 2023.
  16. "Resultados definitivos". Regional Government of Extremadura (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 June 2023.
  17. Vigario, David (14 July 2023). "María Guardiola, investida presidenta de Extremadura: «El camino fácil hubiera sido irme»". El Mundo (in Spanish). Mérida. Retrieved 15 July 2023.

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