2023_Asturian_regional_election

2023 Asturian regional election

2023 Asturian regional election

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The 2023 Asturian regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 12th General Junta of the Principality of Asturias. All 45 seats in the General Junta were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Quick Facts All 45 seats in the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias 23 seats needed for a majority, Registered ...

Overview

Electoral system

The General Junta of the Principality of Asturias was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Asturias, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Asturian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting for the General Junta was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Asturias and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Spanish: Voto rogado), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote.[2] The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.[3]

The 45 members of the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, which were established as follows:

Each constituency was allocated an initial minimum of two seats, with the remaining 39 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[4]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each General Junta constituency was entitled the following seats:[5]

More information Seats, Constituencies ...

The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[6]

Election date

The term of the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the General Junta were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 26 May 2019, setting the election date for the General Junta on Sunday, 28 May 2023.[1][4][7]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the General Junta and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the General Junta was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[1]

The election to the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias was officially triggered on 4 April 2023 after the publication of the election decree in the Official Gazette of the Principality of Asturias (BOPA).[5]

Parliamentary composition

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the General Junta at the time of the election call.[8]

More information Groups, Parties ...

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[4][7]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

More information Candidacy, Parties and alliances ...

Campaign

Election debates

More information Date, Organisers ...

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Graphical summary

Local regression trend line of poll results from 26 May 2019 to 28 May 2023, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 23 seats were required for an absolute majority in the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Results

Overall

More information Parties and alliances, Popular vote ...
More information Popular vote ...
More information Seats ...

Distribution by constituency

More information Constituency, PSOE ...

Aftermath

Barbón was elected invested as President with majority in the first voting.[25]

More information Ballot →, 19 July 2019 ...

Notes

  1. Results for IUIAS in the 2019 election.
  2. Luis Armando Fernández Bartolomé, former CS legislator.[10]
  3. Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  4. Extrapolation from results for the Central District.
  5. Vote+Simpathy figures with undecided and/or abstentionists excluded.
  6. Within PP.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. "Elecciones autonómicas: El PP arrebataría al PSOE la Comunidad Valenciana, Castilla-La Mancha y La Rioja". La Razón (in Spanish). 22 May 2023.
  2. "ElectoPanel Autonómico (13M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 13 May 2023.
  3. "ElectoPanel Autonómico (6M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 6 May 2023.
  4. "Asturias / La izquierda gobernaría". El Plural (in Spanish). 29 April 2023.
  5. "ElectoPanel Autonómico (29A)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 29 April 2023.
  6. "ElectoPanel Autonómico (22A)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 22 April 2023.
  7. "EP Autonómico 8A – comienza el juego". Electomanía (in Spanish). 8 April 2023.
  8. "A un año vista". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 21 April 2022.
  9. "EP (17My): Asturias – absoluta para Barbón". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
Other
  1. Ley Orgánica 7/1981, de 30 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía del Principado de Asturias (Organic Law 7) (in Spanish). 30 December 1981. Retrieved 14 March 2017.
  2. Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  3. Araque Conde, Pilar (8 June 2022). "El Congreso acaba con el voto rogado: diez años de trabas burocráticas para los residentes en el extranjero". Público (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 31 July 2022.
  4. Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 2017-07-30. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  5. Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 8 April 2023.
  6. "Elecciones a la Junta General del Principado de Asturias (desde 1983)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 25 December 2023.
  7. Palacio, Marcos (5 May 2022). "Ciudadanos expulsa al diputado Fernández Bartolomé, que se niega a entregar el acta". La Nueva España (in Spanish). Retrieved 31 July 2022.
  8. "Barbón confirma que se presentará a la reelección" (in Spanish). COPE. 8 September 2022. Retrieved 19 September 2022.
  9. Montes, Vicente (28 November 2022). "Diego Canga Fano, alto funcionario de la UE, será el candidato del PP a la presidencia de Asturias". La Nueva España (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 November 2022.
  10. "La periodista Laura Pérez Macho será la portavoz de Ciudadanos en la Junta General" (in Spanish). Oviedo: Europa Press. 26 June 2019. Retrieved 14 October 2020.
  11. Ardura, Juan A. (6 February 2023). "Ciudadanos ya tiene candidato en Asturias: Manuel Iñarra liderará el partido". La Nueva España (in Spanish). Oviedo. Retrieved 8 February 2023.
  12. Canga, Pablo (4 November 2022). "Los críticos de Podemos imponen a su candidata, Covadonga Tomé, como cabeza de lista al Principado" (in Spanish). Cadena SER. Retrieved 4 November 2022.
  13. "Ovidio Zapico encabeza la única lista consensuada de IU de Asturias a las próximas elecciones" (in Spanish). Asturias. Europa Press. 28 January 2023. Retrieved 24 February 2023.
  14. "IU y Más País se presentarán juntos el 28M como Convocatoria por Asturies". COPE (in Spanish). 30 March 2023. Retrieved 1 April 2023.
  15. Villa, Octavio (1 October 2022). "Foro designa a Adrián Pumares candidato a la Presidencia del Principado". El Comercio (in Spanish). Retrieved 3 October 2022.
  16. Fernández, Daniel (2022-12-17). "Ignacio Blanco no repetirá como candidato de Vox al Principado". El Comercio (in Spanish). Retrieved 2022-12-17.
  17. "La arquitecta Carolina López será candidata de Vox a la Presidencia de Asturias". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 19 January 2023. Retrieved 21 January 2023.
  18. "El debate de RTPA revitaliza la campaña". RTPA (in Spanish). 18 May 2023. Retrieved 18 May 2023.

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