2023_Aragonese_regional_election

2023 Aragonese regional election
All 67 seats in the Cortes of Aragon; 34 seats needed for a majority
	Opinion polls
Registered	1,019,050 0.1%
Turnout	678,112 (66.5%); 0.3 pp
President before election; Javier Lambán; PSOE	Elected President ; Jorge Azcón; PP

2023 Aragonese regional election

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The 2023 Aragonese regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 11th Cortes of the autonomous community of Aragon. All 67 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Quick Facts All 67 seats in the Cortes of Aragon 34 seats needed for a majority, Registered ...

The election saw a victory for the People's Party (PP) which, together with the far-right Vox, was able to command a majority of seats in the Cortes. The previous government, formed by the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), Podemos, Aragonese Union (CHA) and the Aragonese Party (PAR) under two-term Aragonese president Javier Lambán, fell five seats short of a majority even with the support of United Left (IU). As a result, PP leader Jorge Azcón was able to become new regional president through a coalition with Vox.

Overview

Election date

The term of the Cortes of Aragon expired four years after the date of their previous election, unless they were dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Aragon (BOA), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 26 May 2019, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 26 May 2023. The election decree was required to be published in the BOA no later than 2 May 2023, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 25 June 2023.^[1]^[4]^[7]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Aragon and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.^[1]

In November 2021, following emerging speculation on possible snap elections in Andalusia and Castile and León to be called by the spring of 2022,^[8] as well as a similar move in the Valencian Community being considered by Valencian president Ximo Puig,^[9] it transpired that Lambán had been evaluating the opportunity of a simultaneous early election in Aragon in order to catch the regional People's Party (PP) leaderless and off-guard and to benefit from an improving economic situation.^[10] Lambán himself ruled out such possibility on 11 November and maintained that the election would be held in May 2023.^[11]

The Cortes of Aragon were officially dissolved on 4 April 2023 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the BOA, setting the election date for 28 May and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 23 June.^[5]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 34 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Aragon.

Color key:

Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout											Existe		Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout													Lead

2023 regional election	28 May 2023	—	66.5	29.6 23	35.5 28	1.3 0	4.0 1	5.1 3	11.2 7	2.1 1	3.1 1	–	–	5.0 3	–	5.9

GAD3/RTVE–FORTA^{[p 1]}	12–27 May 2023	1,100	?	28.1 22/23	37.1 28/29	1.3 0	6.0 2/3	5.7 2/3	12.1 7/9	2.1 0	2.9 1	–	–	2.6 2	–	9.0
NC Report/La Razón^{[p 2]}	22 May 2023	?	?	31.3 23/24	35.0 27/28	–	5.3 2/3	4.9 2/3	8.9 6/7	–	3.7 0/1	–	–	3.9 2/3	–	3.7
KeyData/Público^{[p 3]}	19 May 2023	?	67.0	31.1 25	34.7 27	2.4 0	5.6 3	5.5 2	9.1 6	2.1 0	3.9 1	–	–	4.2 3	–	3.6
Data10/OKDiario^{[p 4]}	15–17 May 2023	1,500	?	30.2 24	33.8 27	2.3 0	5.6 3	5.4 3	9.4 6	2.4 0	3.7 1	–	–	4.2 3	–	3.6
Target Point/El Debate^{[p 5]}	12–17 May 2023	803	?	29.8 23/24	34.0 27	? 0	? 3	? 2/3	9.8 5/7	? 0	? 1	–	–	4.1 3	–	4.2
ElectoPanel/El Plural^{[p 6]}^{[p 7]}	11–17 May 2023	600	?	29.2 22	33.6 26	2.5 0	6.2 3	5.6 3	10.4 7	2.0 0	3.6 1	–	–	3.1 5	–	4.4
A+M/Heraldo de Aragón^{[p 8]}	10–17 May 2023	4,800	67.8	29.9 21/24	34.6 24/27	1.9 0	6.0 3	6.9 3/4	8.4 5/6	2.3 1/2	3.1 1	–	–	5.7 5	–	4.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^{[p 9]}^{[p 10]}	10–17 May 2023	1,243	?	32.7 23/26	36.4 26/28	1.3 0	4.5 2/5	6.2 3	9.7 6/8	1.8 0	2.5 1	–	–	3.1 2/3	–	3.7
SocioMétrica/El Español^{[p 11]}	8–14 May 2023	?	?	29.8 23/24	33.9 27/28	2.9 0	5.6 3	4.6 2/3	9.9 6/7	2.1 0	3.9 1	–	–	4.0 3	–	4.1
ElectoPanel/El Plural^{[p 12]}^{[p 13]}	4–10 May 2023	600	?	29.2 22	33.2 26	2.5 0	6.1 3	5.6 2	10.3 7	2.0 0	3.6 1	–	–	3.6 6	–	4.0
IMOP/El Confidencial^{[p 14]}	2–3 May 2023	1,048	?	32.6 25	34.5 26	1.0 0	5.0 3	6.0 3	9.2 6	2.4 0	3.8 1	–	–	2.6 3	–	1.9
ElectoPanel/El Plural^{[p 15]}^{[p 16]}	26 Apr–3 May 2023	600	?	29.5 21	33.1 24	3.1 1	6.2 3	5.7 2	10.3 7	2.5 0	3.6 1	–	–	4.5 8	–	3.6
CIS^{[p 17]}^{[p 18]}	10–26 Apr 2023	1,556	?	31.1 24/26	36.2 24/28	1.3 0	6.4 3	5.5 2/4	7.3 3/5	1.6 0/1	4.2 1	–	–	3.4 4	–	5.1
ElectoPanel/El Plural^{[p 19]}^{[p 20]}	19–25 Apr 2023	600	?	29.4 21	33.3 24	3.1 1	6.2 3	5.7 2	10.3 7	2.5 0	3.6 1	–	–	4.3 8	–	3.9
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es^{[p 21]}	12–20 Apr 2023	854	65.1	28.4 23	29.9 23	3.8 1	5.5 3	6.4 3	10.0 6/7	1.4 0	5.0 2	–	–	7.5 5/6	–	1.5
A+M/Heraldo de Aragón^{[p 22]}	12–19 Apr 2023	4,800	68.2	33.6 25/28	38.0 27/30	2.7 0/1	5.4 4	6.3 3/5	5.2 3/5	3.5 0/2	3.3 1	–	–	0.9 1/2	–	4.4
ElectoPanel/El Plural^{[p 23]}^{[p 24]}	12–18 Apr 2023	600	?	29.7 21	32.3 24	3.0 1	6.5 3	5.9 3	10.9 7	3.0 1	3.3 1	–	–	4.0 6	–	2.6
NC Report/La Razón^{[p 25]}	7–14 Apr 2023	?	65.7	29.6 23	34.9 27	2.3 0	5.5 3	4.6 2	8.8 7	2.3 0	4.1 1	–	–	5.4 4	–	5.3
ElectoPanel/El Plural^{[p 26]}^{[p 27]}	5–11 Apr 2023	600	?	30.2 20	30.7 22	3.0 1	6.7 3	6.4 4	10.8 7	3.8 2	2.9 1	–	–	4.2 7	–	0.5
SocioMétrica/El Español^{[p 28]}	3–7 Apr 2023	1,200	?	29.0 22/23	33.5 26/27	2.6 0	6.0 3	4.6 1/2	9.9 6	2.4 0	3.7 1	–	–	5.2 6	–	4.5
ElectoPanel/El Plural^{[p 29]}^{[p 30]}	27 Mar–4 Apr 2023	600	?	29.9 20	30.4 22	3.0 1	6.8 3	6.4 4	11.0 7	3.9 2	2.9 1	–	–	4.4 7	–	0.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^{[p 31]}^{[p 32]}	27 Mar–4 Apr 2023	1,315	?	31.2 23/24	33.4 25	3.5 1	5.7 3/4	5.2 3	9.3 5/7	1.8 0	4.0 1	–	–	4.6 4/5	–	2.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía^{[p 33]}	14–30 Mar 2023	372	?	30.3 21	28.9 21	2.9 1	6.7 3	6.4 4	10.9 7	4.0 2	3.0 1	–	–	4.2 7	–	1.4
Target Point/El Debate^{[p 34]}	15–18 Jan 2023	1,001	?	28.7 20/22	34.0 24/25	2.2 0	6.9 3/4	4.6 2/3	10.5 6/8	3.1 1/2	3.6 1	–	–	4.6 4/5	–	5.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía^{[p 35]}	15 Nov–29 Dec 2022	362	?	31.9 23	27.6 20	2.9 1	^{[lower-alpha 2]}	6.7 4	10.6 6	4.5 3	^{[lower-alpha 2]}	9.5 4	–	4.0 6	–	4.3
CIS^{[lower-alpha 3]}^{[p 36]}^{[p 37]}	17 Nov–2 Dec 2022	324	?	41.7 27/40	26.0 16/22	2.0 0/2	^{[lower-alpha 2]}	3.8 1/2	6.3 2/7	1.0 0/2	^{[lower-alpha 2]}	7.3 3/8	–	4.7 2/5	0.2 0/1	15.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^{[p 38]}^{[p 39]}	14–17 Nov 2022	1,000	?	28.5 20/21	29.6 21/23	1.8 0	8.0 5/6	8.1 4/5	10.9 7/8	3.3 2/3	3.8 1	–	–	4.4 2/4	–	1.1
SocioMétrica/El Español^{[p 40]}	3–7 Oct 2022	1,200	?	27.0 20/21	32.3 25/26	2.1 0	5.8 3/4	5.3 2	15.3 10/11	3.3 0/1	4.4 1	–	–	3.8 4	–	5.3
A+M/Heraldo de Aragón^{[p 41]}	27 Sep–6 Oct 2022	3,600	68.5	31.9 24	32.0 24	4.4 1	6.2 3	7.0 5	6.6 4	3.9 3	3.2 1	–	–	2.3 2	–	0.1
ElectoPanel/Electomanía^{[p 42]}	14 Aug–28 Sep 2022	204	?	33.0 23	27.2 20	3.0 1	^{[lower-alpha 2]}	6.7 4	10.5 6	4.5 3	^{[lower-alpha 2]}	9.0 4	–	3.9 6	–	5.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía^{[p 43]}	31 Mar–15 May 2022	180	?	32.8 23	25.9 17	3.1 1	^{[lower-alpha 2]}	6.8 4	11.5 7	4.5 3	^{[lower-alpha 2]}	8.9 4	–	4.5 8	–	6.9
A+M/Heraldo de Aragón^{[p 44]}	4–18 Apr 2022	3,600	69.8	30.6 23	32.4 24	5.1 3	6.3 3	6.6 3	7.0 5	4.4 2	3.7 1	–	–	2.2 3	–	1.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía^{[p 45]}	16 Nov–29 Dec 2021	?	?	33.5 23	26.5 18	3.3 1	^{[lower-alpha 2]}	7.0 4	10.3 7	4.3 3	^{[lower-alpha 2]}	8.7 4	–	4.3 7	–	7.0
ElectoPanel/Electomanía^{[p 46]}	30 Jun–13 Aug 2021	251	?	30.9 22	29.5 22	3.4 1	^{[lower-alpha 2]}	7.3 4	10.1 7	4.7 2	^{[lower-alpha 2]}	8.3 5	–	3.0 4	–	1.4
A+M/Heraldo de Aragón^{[p 47]}^{[p 48]}	12–19 Apr 2021	3,600	69.3	32.7 25	31.2 23	4.9 3	5.9 3	7.2 5	7.5 5	4.4 2	3.8 1	–	–	–	–	1.5
SyM Consulting^{[p 49]}^{[p 50]}	1–3 Mar 2021	1,938	65.7	33.5 26	23.2 16/17	5.3 2/4	6.9 4	6.6 4	12.8 8/9	5.4 3/5	2.5 1	–	–	–	–	10.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía^{[p 51]}	12 Jul–13 Aug 2020	?	?	30.7 24	25.5 20	8.1 4	8.1 4	5.1 2	8.9 5	3.6 2	2.9 1	–	–	3.1 5	–	5.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía^{[p 51]}	12 Jul–13 Aug 2020	?	?	31.9 25	26.0 21	8.3 5	8.3 5	5.4 2	9.0 5	4.3 3	2.9 1	–	–	–	–	5.9
SyM Consulting^{[p 52]}^{[p 53]}	28–30 May 2020	1,952	68.2	28.8 22/24	25.4 19/20	7.2 4	8.2 4	5.7 3/4	14.4 9/11	4.8 3	2.0 0	–	–	–	–	3.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía^{[p 54]}^{[p 55]}	1 Apr–15 May 2020	?	?	33.2 26	26.5 21	8.7 5	8.4 5	5.4 2	7.8 5	4.2 2	2.9 1	–	–	–	–	6.7
November 2019 general election	10 Nov 2019	—	69.3	30.7 (23)	23.9 (18)	8.6 (4)	^{[lower-alpha 2]}	0.3 (0)	17.0 (11)	–	^{[lower-alpha 2]}	10.8 (6)	3.3 (1)	2.8 (4)	–	6.8

2019 regional election	26 May 2019	—	66.2	30.8 24	20.9 16	16.7 12	8.1 5	6.3 3	6.1 3	5.1 3	3.3 1	–	–	–	–	9.9

Results

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[33] Denotes a main invitee attending the event.

[UP-70] Within Unidas Podemos.

[71] Vote+Simpathy figures with undecided and/or abstentionists excluded.

[35] [p 1]
"El PP sería el partido más votado, pero el Gobierno de Aragón dependería otra vez de pactos". CARTV (in Spanish). 28 May 2023.

[36] [p 2]
"Elecciones autonómicas: El PP arrebataría al PSOE la Comunidad Valenciana, Castilla-La Mancha y La Rioja". La Razón (in Spanish). 22 May 2023.

[37] [p 3]
"La España Vaciada decidirá el gobierno de Aragón entre la izquierda o la derecha". Público (in Spanish). 21 May 2023.

[38] [p 4]
"El PP de Azcón derrota al PSOE de Lambán pero deberá pactar con Vox y Aragón Existe para gobernar". OKDiario (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.

[39] [p 5]
"PP y Vox rozan la mayoría absoluta en Aragón y dejan a Lambán en manos de la España vaciada". El Debate (in Spanish). 19 May 2023.

[40] [p 6]
"Más que una encuesta: este partido será clave para decidir gobierno en Aragón". El Plural (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.

[41] [p 7]
"EP Autonómico (20My – Final): nos espera un 28M de infarto". Electomanía (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.

[42] [p 8]
"El PP ganaría las elecciones pero Aragón Existe sería clave para definir el Gobierno". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.

[43] [p 9]
"El PP se dispara en Aragón y puede echar a Lambán con apoyo de Vox". El Mundo (in Spanish). 19 May 2023.

[44] [P 10]
"[AUT] ARAGÓN. Encuesta SigmaDos 19/05/2023: PODEMOS 4,5% (2/5), IU 2,5% (1), CHA 6,2% (3), PSOE 32,7% (23/26), AE 3,1% (2/3), PAR 1,8%, CS 1,3%, PP 36,4% (26/28), VOX 9,7% (6/8)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 19 May 2023.

[45] [P 11]
"Lambán en peligro: la derecha lograría la mayoría absoluta si se mantiene la tendencia". El Español (in Spanish). 15 May 2023.

[46] [P 12]
"Todo depende de este partido político en Aragón si acierta el último estudio electoral". El Plural (in Spanish). 13 May 2023.

[47] [P 13]
"ElectoPanel Autonómico (13M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 13 May 2023.

[IMOPMay23-48] [P 14]
"Empate técnico del PP y PSOE en Aragón: Teruel Existe decidirá el próximo Gobierno". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 9 May 2023.

[49] [P 15]
"En Aragón, este partido decidirá si gobierna el PP o el PSOE según el último estudio electoral". El Plural (in Spanish). 6 May 2023.

[50] [P 16]
"ElectoPanel Autonómico (6M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 6 May 2023.

[CISApr23-51] [P 17]
"Preelectoral elecciones municipales y autonómicas 2023. Comunidad Autónoma de Aragón (Estudio nº 3402. Abril 2023)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2023.

[52] [P 18]
"Estimación de voto. Municipios, grandes ciudades y Comunidades Autónomas (Estudio nº 3402. Abril 2023)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2023.

[53] [P 19]
"Aragón Existe / clave en un escenario muy apretado". El Plural (in Spanish). 29 April 2023.

[54] [P 20]
"ElectoPanel Autonómico (29A)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 29 April 2023.

[55] [P 21]
"El PP alcanza a Lambán y Aragón Existe tendrá la llave del gobierno regional". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 23 April 2023.

[56] [P 22]
"PP y PSOE amplían su hegemonía y ambos tendrían opciones de gobernar con pactos". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 23 April 2023.

[57] [P 23]
"Aragón / Subida del PP ante un parlamento muy fragmentado en el que no podría gobernar". El Plural (in Spanish). 22 April 2023.

[58] [P 24]
"ElectoPanel Autonómico (22A)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 22 April 2023.

[59] [P 25]
"Los populares, a siete escaños de la mayoría absoluta en Aragón". La Razón (in Spanish). 17 April 2023.

[60] [P 26]
"ElectoPanel Aragón / La izquierda y partidos regionalistas superan por mucho a la suma de PP y Vox". El Plural (in Spanish). 15 April 2023.

[61] [P 27]
"ElectoPanel Autonómico (15A) – varias CCAA en un puño". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 April 2023.

[SMApr23-62] [P 28]
"Azcón aventaja a Lambán en 4,5 puntos pero Aragón Existe decidiría con sus 6 diputados quién gobierna". El Español (in Spanish). 13 April 2023.

[63] [P 29]
"ElectoPanel Aragón / Aragón Existe decidirá el gobierno de la región". El Plural (in Spanish). 8 April 2023.

[64] [P 30]
"EP Autonómico 8A – comienza el juego". Electomanía (in Spanish). 8 April 2023.

[65] [P 31]
"El PP de Azcón se dispara en Aragón pero un cuatripartito nuevo salvaría a Lambán". El Mundo (in Spanish). 7 April 2023.

[66] [P 32]
"[AUT] ARAGÓN. Encuesta SigmaDos 07/04/2023: PODEMOS 5,7% (3/4), IU 4,0% (1), CHA 5,2% (3), PSOE 31,2% (23/24), AE 4,6% (4/5), PAR 1,8%, CS 3,5% (1), PP 33,4% (25), VOX 9,3% (5/7)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 7 April 2023.

[67] [P 33]
"EP Aragón (31M): Populares y Socialistas empatan en escaños". Electomanía (in Spanish). 31 March 2023.

[68] [P 34]
"El PP ganaría las elecciones en Aragón pero necesitaría el apoyo de Vox y el PAR para gobernar". El Debate (in Spanish). 23 January 2023.

[69] [P 35]
"EP Aragón (31Dic): Aragón Existe y el PAR, decisivos". Electomanía (in Spanish). 31 December 2022.

[CISDec22-72] [P 36]
"Macroencuesta sobre tendencias en voto autonómico (Estudio nº 3386. Noviembre-diciembre 2022)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 22 December 2022.

[73] [P 37]
"Estimación de escaños elecciones autonómicas (Estudio nº 3386. Macroencuesta sobre tendencias en voto autonómico)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 22 December 2022.

[74] [P 38]
"Lambán resiste pese al 'sorpasso' del PP y por la incompatibilidad de Vox con todos sus socios". El Mundo (in Spanish). 21 November 2022.

[75] [P 39]
"ARAGÓN. Encuesta SigmaDos 21/11/2022: PODEMOS 8,0% (5/6), IU 3,8% (1), CHA 8,1% (4/5), PSOE 28,5% (20/21), AE 4,4% (2/4), PAR 3,3% (2/3), Cs 1,8%, PP 29,6% (21/23), VOX 10,9% (7/8)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 21 November 2022.

[SMOct22-76] [P 40]
"El PP arrebataría hoy Aragón a los socialistas: aventaja en 5 puntos a Lambán pese a no tener aún candidato". El Español (in Spanish). 12 October 2022.

[77] [P 41]
"Un empate técnico de PP y PSOE y la debacle de Cs permitirían a Lambán repetir el cuatripartito en Aragón". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 12 October 2022.

[78] [P 42]
"EP (Aragón 1Oct): bajada de Aragón Existe y del PSOE. Seguiría un gobierno multipartito". Electomanía (in Spanish). 1 October 2022.

[79] [P 43]
"ElectoPanel Aragón (15My): bajada del PSOE. Aragón Existe desciende ligeramente". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 May 2022.

[80] [P 44]
"El PP ganaría las elecciones, pero el Gobierno dependerá de pactos con múltiples partidos". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 23 April 2022.

[81] [P 45]
"EP Aragón (30D): Aragón Existe lograría 7 diputados, alcanzando en escaños a Vox". Electomanía (in Spanish). 30 December 2021.

[82] [P 46]
"EP Aragón (15Ag): empate PP-PSOE con UP y TEx marcando el próximo Gobierno". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 August 2021.

[83] [P 47]
"El PSOE podría reeditar su cuatripartito en Aragón a pesar de que la debacle de Ciudadanos impulsa al PP". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 23 April 2021.

[84] [P 48]
"ARAGÓN. Encuesta A+M 23/04/2021: IU 3,8% (1), PODEMOS-EQUO 5,9% (3), CHA 7,2% (5), PSOE 32,7% (25), PAR 4,4% (2), Cs 4,9% (3), PP 31,2% (23), VOX 7,5% (5)". Electograph (in Spanish). 23 April 2021.

[85] [P 49]
"Estimación Marzo 2021. Aragón. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 10 March 2021.

[86] [P 50]
"ARAGÓN. Encuesta SyM Consulting 10/03/2021: IU 2,5% (1), PODEMOS-EQUO 6,9% (4), CHA 6,6% (4), PSOE 33,5% (26), PAR 5,4% (3/5), Cs 5,3% (2/4), PP 23,2% (16/17), VOX 12,8% (8/9)". Electograph (in Spanish). 10 March 2021.

[87] [P 51]
"EP Autonómico (15Ag): Teruel Existe sería clave en Aragón, con los dos bloques muy igualados. Múltiple empate en Andalucía". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 August 2020.

[88] [P 52]
"Estimación Mayo 2020. Aragón. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 3 June 2020.

[89] [P 53]
"ARAGÓN. Encuesta SyM Consulting 03/06/2020: IU 2,0%, PODEMOS-EQUO 8,2% (4), CHA 5,7% (3/4), PSOE 28,8% (22/24), PAR 4,8% (3), Cs 7,2% (4), PP 25,4% (19/20), VOX 14,4% (9/11)". Electograph (in Spanish). 3 June 2020.

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Groups		Parties		Legislators
Groups		Parties		Seats	Total
	Socialist Parliamentary Group		PSOE	24	24
	People's Parliamentary Group in the Cortes of Aragon		PP	16	16
	Citizens–Party of the Citizenry Parliamentary Group		CS	12	12
	We Can–Equo Aragon Parliamentary Group		Podemos	5	5
	Aragonese Union Parliamentary Group		CHA	3	3
	Vox Parliamentary Group in Aragon		Vox	3	3
	Aragonese Parliamentary Group		PAR	3	3
	Mixed Parliamentary Group		IU	1	1

Candidacy		Parties and alliances	Leading candidate		Ideology	Previous result		Gov.	Ref.
Candidacy		Parties and alliances	Leading candidate		Ideology	Votes (%)	Seats	Gov.	Ref.
	PSOE	List Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)		Javier Lambán	Social democracy	30.84%	24	Y	^[13] ^[14] ^[15]
	PP	List People's Party (PP) Aragonese–Aragonese Platform (Aragoneses)		Jorge Azcón	Conservatism Christian democracy	20.87%	16	N	^[16] ^[17] ^[18] ^[19]
	CS– Tú Aragón	List Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS) You Aragon (Tú Aragón)		Carlos Ortas	Liberalism	16.67%	12	N	^[20] ^[21]
	Podemos–AV	List We Can (Podemos) Green Alliance (AV)		Maru Díaz	Left-wing populism Direct democracy Democratic socialism	8.11%	5	Y	^[22]
	CHA	List Aragonese Union (CHA)		José Luis Soro	Aragonese nationalism Eco-socialism	6.26%	3	Y	^[23]
	Vox	List Vox (Vox)		Alejandro Nolasco	Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism	6.08%	3	N	^[24]
	PAR	List Aragonese Party (PAR) Aragonese Liberal Platform (PLA)		Alberto Izquierdo	Regionalism Centrism	5.08%	3	Y	^[25] ^[26]
	IU	List United Left of Aragon (IU) – Communist Party of Aragon (PCE–A) – The Dawn. Marxist Organization OM (La Aurora (om)) – Republican Left (IR)		Álvaro Sanz	Socialism Communism	3.32%	1	N	^[27]
	Existe	List Teruel Exists (TE) Aragon Exists (AE) Empty Spain (EV)		Tomás Guitarte	Localism Ruralism	New party		N	^[28] ^[29]

Date	Organisers	Moderator(s)	P Present^{[lower-alpha 1]}
			PSOE	PP	CS–TA	Podemos	CHA	Vox	PAR	IU	Existe	Audience	Ref.
												Audience	Ref.
15 May	Aragón TV	Ana Laiglesia	P Lambán	P Azcón	P Ortas	P Díaz	P Soro	P Nolasco	P Izquierdo	P Sanz	P Guitarte	10.6%	^[33]

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			Other/ None/ Not care	Lead

			Lambán PSOE	Azcón PP
A+M/Heraldo de Aragón^{[p 56]}	14–18 Jan 2023	1,400	29.8	28.4	41.8	1.4

Parties and alliances		Popular vote			Seats

Parties and alliances		Votes	%	±pp	Total	+/−
	People's Party (PP)	237,817	35.51	+14.64	28	+12
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)	197,919	29.55	–1.29	23	–1
	Vox (Vox)	75,349	11.25	+5.17	7	+4
	Aragonese Union (CHA)	34,163	5.10	–1.16	3	±0
	Exists Coalition (Existe)	33,190	4.96	New	3	+3
	We Can–Green Alliance (Podemos–AV)	26,923	4.02	–4.09	1	–4
	United Left of Aragon (IU)	20,959	3.13	–0.19	1	±0
	Aragonese Party (PAR)	13,988	2.09	–2.99	1	–2
	Citizens–You Aragon (CS–Tú Aragón)	8,595	1.28	–15.39	0	–12
	Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA)¹	3,343	0.50	–0.18	0	±0
	Blank Seats to Leave Empty Seats (EB)	2,860	0.43	+0.21	0	±0
	Federation of Independents of Aragon (FIA)	1,248	0.19	+0.07	0	±0
	Greens Equo (Equo)	1,156	0.17	New	0	±0
	Communist Party of the Workers of Spain (PCTE)	878	0.13	+0.05	0	±0
	Lower Cinca Between Everyone (ETXSBC)	541	0.08	New	0	±0
Blank ballots		10,846	1.62	+0.64

Total		669,775			67	±0

Valid votes		669,775	98.77	–0.56
Invalid votes		8,337	1.23	+0.56
Votes cast / turnout		678,112	66.54	+0.38
Abstentions		340,938	33.46	–0.38
Registered voters		1,019,050

Sources^[12]^[34]
Footnotes: ¹ Animalist Party with the Environment results are compared to Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals totals in the 2019 election.

2023_Aragonese_regional_election

2023 Aragonese regional election

Overview

Electoral system

Election date

Parliamentary composition

Parties and candidates

Campaign

Election debates

Opinion polls

Graphical summary

Voting intention estimates

Voting preferences

Preferred President

Predicted President

Results

Overall

Distribution by constituency

Aftermath

Notes

References

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Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size													Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead

			Lambán PSOE	Azcón PP	Pérez CS	Ortas CS	Díaz Podemos	Soro CHA	Morón Vox	Nolasco Vox	Aliaga PAR	Izquierdo PAR	Sanz IU	Guitarte Existe
IMOP/El Confidencial^{[p 14]}	2–3 May 2023	1,048	28.7	19.7	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	9.0
SocioMétrica/El Español^{[p 28]}	3–7 Apr 2023	1,200	30.2	29.4	–	3.0	6.2	5.5	–	9.6	–	2.9	3.1	10.1	–	–	0.8
A+M/Heraldo de Aragón^{[p 56]}	14–18 Jan 2023	1,400	33.4	32.3	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	34.3		1.1
SocioMétrica/El Español^{[p 40]}	3–7 Oct 2022	1,200	24.9	31.7	4.0	–	6.0	6.1	11.3	–	5.7	–	3.5	6.8	–	–	6.8

Constituency	PP		PSOE		Vox		CHA		Existe		Podemos		IU		PAR

	%	S	%	S	%	S	%	S	%	S	%	S	%	S	%	S
Huesca	35.2	8	30.1	7	10.1	2	5.5	1	3.2	−	3.9	−	2.6	−	3.3	−
Teruel	31.1	5	22.8	4	10.5	1	2.0	−	20.7	3	1.9	−	2.2	−	6.5	1
Zaragoza	36.2	15	30.5	12	11.6	4	5.5	2	3.0	−	4.4	1	3.4	1	1.1	−
Total	35.5	28	29.6	23	11.2	7	5.1	3	5.0	3	4.0	1	3.1	1	2.1	1

Sources^[34]

Ballot →		10 August 2023
Investiture Jorge Azcón (PP)
Required majority →		34 out of 67 Y
	Yes • PP (28) • Vox (7) • PAR (1)	36 / 67
	No • PSOE (23) • CHA (3) • Existe (3) • Podemos (1) • IU (1)	31 / 67
	Abstentions	0 / 67
	Absentees	0 / 67
Sources^[35]