2022_Minnesota_gubernatorial_election

2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election

2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election

Election for the governorship of the U.S. state of Minnesota


The 2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Minnesota. Incumbent Democratic (DFL) Governor Tim Walz defeated the Republican nominee, former state senator Scott Jensen,[1] winning a second term.[2]

Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...

Jensen's advantage in rural Greater Minnesota could not overcome Walz’s large lead in the Twin Cities metropolitan area, with Walz winning the election by a comfortable 7.7% margin. With his win, Walz gave the Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party its fourth consecutive gubernatorial victory, the most in the party's history.[3] Furthermore, the DFL held the State House and flipped the State Senate, gaining a trifecta for the first time since 2012.[4]

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Results

Results by county:
  Walz
  •   80–90%
  •   90-100%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Caucuses and conventions

Caucus

The caucuses took place on February 1, 2022. A caucus is a local meeting where all who intend to vote for the Republican Party are able to select their precinct leadership, participate in a straw poll for governor, write and pass resolutions, and elect delegates to their local Basic Political Organizational Unit (BPOU). Those who were not elected BPOU delegates could become alternates and fill in for delegates who cannot attend the BPOU convention.[38]

BPOU conventions

A BPOU has boundaries based on the county or state senate district a voter resides in. The majority of these took place in March 2022. Elected delegates of each BPOU attended a convention relating to their district to vote on the resolutions passed at the caucus, complete party business, listen to candidates, and elect delegates to the state convention and their corresponding U.S. House District convention.

State convention

The Republican State Convention was held on May 13–14, 2022 in Rochester. 2,200 delegates were elected statewide to decide the Minnesota Republican Party's endorsement in all statewide offices. The endorsed candidate receives the party's backing, including money and resources, ahead of the August 9 primary.[39] Only one Republican, incumbent governor Arne Carlson in 1994, has won the primary without the party's endorsement. (Two Democrats, Mark Dayton and Tim Walz, won the Democratic primary against endorsed candidates.)[40]

At the convention, Scott Jensen won the endorsement with 65% of the vote on the ninth ballot, defeating Kendall Qualls. Mike Murphy, Paul Gazelka, and Neil Shah were eliminated on earlier ballots. All the candidates who contested the endorsement pledged to forego the primary if not endorsed.[40]

Qualls soon honored his pledge by announcing his plans to "return to private life."[41] Rich Stanek, the only major candidate who did not compete for the endorsement, did not file for the primary, leaving Jensen without major opposition.[24] He faced two minor candidates in the August primary.

Endorsements

Scott Jensen
State legislators
Newspapers
  • Winsted Herald-Journal[44]
  • Delano Herald-Journal[44]
  • Dassel-Cokato Enterprise Dispatch[44]
Organizations
  • Stand for Health Freedom[45]

Results

Results by county:
  Jensen
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Independents and others

Grassroots-Legalize Cannabis primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Steve Patterson, anti-lockdown activist[7]
    • Matt Huff
Eliminated in primary
  • Darrell Paulsen, business consultant, nominee for lieutenant governor in 1998[7]
    • Edwin Engelmann, nominee for lieutenant governor in 2010

Results

Results by county:
  Patterson
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  Paulsen
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  No votes
More information Party, Candidate ...

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

Results by county:
  McCaskel
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  Wright
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  No votes
More information Party, Candidate ...

Other parties

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Cory Hepola (withdrew)
Organizations

General election

Campaign

The election's central issues were the economy, rising crime, Walz’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic, education, and abortion access following the Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade.

Walz campaigned on his first-term accomplishments, such as middle-class tax cuts, while making abortion rights a prominent focus of the campaign and attacking Jensen on abortion and his COVID-19 skepticism. Jensen attacked Walz over his COVID-19 policies, crime in the Twin Cities, inflation and gas prices, and education performance.[56]

Jensen was criticized for promoting the hoax that schools provided litter boxes to students who identify as furries.[57][58]

Debates

More information No., Date ...

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Endorsements

Scott Jensen (R)
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
Statewide officials
State legislators
Newspapers
Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls
More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
Graphical summary
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling
Tim Walz vs. Michelle Benson
Tim Walz vs. Paul Gazelka
Tim Walz vs. Mike Marti
Tim Walz vs. Mike Murphy
Tim Walz vs. Kendall Qualls
Tim Walz vs. Neil Shah
Tim Walz vs. Rich Stanek
Tim Walz vs. generic Republican

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Results by county

More information By county, County ...

By congressional district

Walz and Jensen each won 4 of 8 congressional districts, all of which voted for the same party in the simultaneous House Elections.[94]

More information District, Walz ...

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. McCaskel with 1.2%, Patterson with 0.9%, and Prosser with 0.4%
  4. McCaskel (LMN) with 1.4%, Prosser (SW) with 1.0%, and Patterson (GLC) with 0.9%
  5. McCaskel (LMN) with 1.2%, Prosser (SW) with 1.2%, and Patterson (GLC) with 0.6%
  6. McCaskel with 1.4%, Patterson with 0.2%, and Prosser with 0.1%
  7. "The candidate from either one of the legalize marijuana parties (Legal Marijuana Now or Grassroots Legalize Cannabis)"
Partisan clients
  1. This poll was sponsored by KSTP-TV
  2. This poll was sponsored by MinnPost
  3. This poll was sponsored by Jensen's campaign
  4. This poll was sponsored by McTavish's campaign

References

  1. "Minnesota Governor Election Results". The New York Times. November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  2. "Minnesota election results: Walz re-elected governor". Fox 9 News. November 8, 2022. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  3. Ihekoronye, Hannah (November 9, 2022). "Minnesota governor: Walz wins after sharp-elbowed race". Sahan Journal. Retrieved November 16, 2022.
  4. "Minnesota Democrats win Capitol 'trifecta'". MPR News. November 9, 2022. Retrieved June 18, 2023.
  5. "olesavior.org". Retrieved June 10, 2022.
  6. Croman, John (May 14, 2020). "Jensen wins GOP endorsement for Minnesota governor". Kare11. Retrieved May 14, 2020. All had pledged to honor the party's endorsement and forego the right to run in the Aug. 9 GOP primary, assuming there was no deadlock.
  7. "Super Bowl Champ to be Jensen's running mate for MN governor". ABC 6 NEWS. March 4, 2022. Retrieved March 5, 2022.
  8. "Vote Bob Again". Retrieved June 10, 2022.
  9. "Joyce Lacey for Governor". Retrieved June 10, 2022.
  10. Tribune, Emma Nelson Star. "Michelle Benson bows out of Minnesota governor's race". Star Tribune. Retrieved April 29, 2022.
  11. Bourke, Theresa (September 13, 2021). "Scott Jensen visits Brainerd, addresses anti-mask supporters at NP Center". Brainerd Dispatch. Archived from the original on September 13, 2021. Retrieved December 9, 2021.
  12. "Benson running for Minnesota governor; Gazelka resigns as majority leader". KIMT News. September 2021. Retrieved September 1, 2021.
  13. "Gazelka enters race for governor". MPR News. September 8, 2021. Retrieved September 8, 2021.
  14. "Mike Marti to Suspend Campaign for Governor". Facebook.com. Mike Marti. December 13, 2021. Retrieved December 13, 2021. Thank you to everyone who has supported our campaign. While I have enjoyed campaigning across our beautiful state and getting to know so many of the delegates, I feel it is best at this time to suspend my campaign for Governor.
  15. Pugmire, Tim (December 8, 2021). "Five GOP candidates for governor say they've had COVID-19". MPR News. Archived from the original on December 9, 2021. Retrieved December 9, 2021.
  16. Van Oot, Torey (January 9, 2022). "Another candidate enters race for Minnesota governor". Axios.
  17. "Former Hennepin County Sheriff Rich Stanek Running For Governor". February 1, 2022. Retrieved February 1, 2022.
  18. "Stanek, Hepola drop out of race for Minnesota governor". MinnPost. June 1, 2022. Retrieved June 10, 2022.
  19. Stephen Montemayor (January 3, 2021). "GOP field for 2022 Minnesota governor's race already taking shape". StarTribune.
  20. Keen, Judy (August 22, 2019). "Jason Lewis to challenge Tina Smith for U.S. Senate seat". Star Tribune. Retrieved April 26, 2021.
  21. Ferguson, Dana (February 21, 2022). "State Sen. Carla Nelson won't seek 1st District seat left vacant after Jim Hagedorn death". Duluth News Tribune. Retrieved February 22, 2022.
  22. Condon, Patrick (February 20, 2021). "Rep. Stauber 'keeping all options open' regarding Minnesota governor bid". Star Tribune.
  23. "Republican Rep. Pete Stauber says he won't run for Minnesota governor in 2022". KSTP-TV. March 13, 2021. Archived from the original on March 14, 2021. Retrieved March 14, 2021.
  24. Montemayor, Stephen (January 23, 2020). "MyPillow inventor open to speculation about 2022 bid for Minnesota governor". Star Tribune. Retrieved January 24, 2020.
  25. @KarinHousley. "I'm excited to run for re-election!". Twitter. Retrieved March 8, 2022.
  26. Desmond, Declan (September 5, 2021). "Ousted MN GOP chair mulls return to politics, possible run for governor". Bring Me The News. Retrieved September 8, 2021.
  27. "Home". Rob Barrett, Jr.
  28. "Action Center". mngop.com. Minnesota GOP. Retrieved March 22, 2022.
  29. "MN GOP to Host 2022 State Convention in Rochester". mngop.com. Minnesota GOP. August 11, 2021. Archived from the original on February 16, 2022. Retrieved March 22, 2022.
  30. Van Oot, Torey (May 15, 2022). "Minnesota candidate for governor Scott Jensen wins GOP endorsement". Axios. Retrieved June 10, 2022.
  31. "'Time to turn the page': Rep. John Thompson says he plans to stay in office as an Independent after DFL oust". kare11.com. Kare 11 News. September 15, 2021. Retrieved February 16, 2022.
  32. Kyle Hooten (December 22, 2021). "Jensen defends campaign appearance with John Thompson, hits back at Gazelka". alphanews.org. Alpha News. Retrieved February 16, 2022. Last week, Jensen invited Thompson to the front of the room during a campaign stop, where he remained for the duration of the event, eliciting criticism from some conservatives. Jensen stands by this decision and has fired shots back at Gazelka for criticizing him.
  33. Dryden, Dené (September 8, 2021). "Sen. Gazelka Stops in St. Cloud Hours After Announcing Gubernatorial Campaign". KNSI. Archived from the original on September 9, 2021. Retrieved October 27, 2021.
  34. "Minnesota scientist cites COVID shutdowns in governor bid". MPR News. April 7, 2022. Retrieved April 8, 2022.
  35. Uren, Adam (May 31, 2022). "Andrew Yang-backed Cory Hepola abandons gubernatorial bid". Bring Me The News. Retrieved May 31, 2022.
  36. Morawczynski, Sean (February 24, 2022). "Richard Painter announces MN-01 candidacy". www.kttc.com.
  37. Mullin, Andrew (January 25, 2022). "Andrew Mullin: Recent Midland 'furry' scare is transphobia in disguise". Midland Daily News. Retrieved January 1, 2023.
  38. "Walz, Jensen clash in final debate before Election Day". MPR News. October 28, 2022. Retrieved October 28, 2022.
  39. "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  40. "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  41. "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  42. "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  43. "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  44. "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  45. Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
  46. Kapos, Shia (October 3, 2022). "Pritzker, Bailey, liars and debates". Politico. Retrieved October 3, 2022.
  47. "Governor Walz and Lt. Governor Flanagan Release 2022 Legislative Endorsements". www.redlakenationnews.com. September 26, 2022. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  48. "DFL Party Endorses Incumbents Walz, Flanagan, Blaha, Ellison". CBS News. May 20, 2022. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  49. "Tim Walz's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  50. "IUOE Local 49 Endorses Walz for Reelection". local49.org. September 1, 2022. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  51. "Political Endorsements — Inter Faculty Organization". www.ifo.org. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  52. "Donald Trump endorses Scott Jensen for Minnesota governor". www.duluthnewstribune.com. October 26, 2022. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  53. Hanley, Ashley (October 27, 2022). "National political group bringing Iowa Governor Reynolds to MN to campaign for Jensen". KTOE AM 1420 - 102.7 FM. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
  54. "NFIB MN PAC Endorses Dr. Scott Jensen for Minnesota Governor". National Federation of Independent Business. September 13, 2022. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  55. "Minnesota Grades & Endorsements". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 15, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  56. "Scott Jensen's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  57. "Dr. Scott Jensen wins GOP endorsement for Minnesota governor". Associated Press. May 14, 2022. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  58. "2022 GENERAL ELECTION RESULTS". Minnesota Secretary of State.

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