2021_Liberal_Democratic_Party_(Japan)_leadership_election

2021 Liberal Democratic Party (Japan) leadership election

2021 Liberal Democratic Party (Japan) leadership election

Political party leadership elections in Japan


The 2021 Liberal Democratic Party leadership election was held on 29 September 2021 to elect the next President of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan and Prime Minister of Japan. Kishida was elected to lead the party, and assumed the premiership on 4 October. He led the party into the 2021 Japanese general election.[1]

Quick Facts Candidate, Leader's seat ...

President of the LDP and Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga announced on 3 September that he would not run for his re-election, amid low approval ratings and media reports of dissension within the party.[2] Suga was initially elected President of the LDP in 2020 to serve the rest of former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's third and final term after Abe resigned in August 2020 due to health issues.

Former Minister for Foreign Affairs Fumio Kishida won the election in a second round runoff, defeating opponent Taro Kono, the incumbent Minister for Administrative Reform and Regulatory Reform. Kishida's victory was driven by strong support among LDP Diet members, while Kono led polling prior to the election and won the most votes from dues-paying party members. Kishida was confirmed by the Diet as Japan's 100th Prime Minister on 4 October 2021.[3]

Background

Shinzo Abe was elected President of the LDP three consecutive times in 2012, 2015 and 2018 following a rule change in 2017 which extended the office's term limit to three consecutive terms instead of two.[4] He successfully led the LDP to three consecutive general election victories in 2012, 2014 and 2017 and assumed the premiership as the longest-serving Prime Minister in Japanese history.[5] On 28 August 2020, Abe suddenly announced that he would resign as Prime Minister and LDP President following a resurgence of his ulcerative colitis.[6]

Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide Suga won the party's special election in September 2020 to serve the remainder of Abe's term as LDP President, with Suga subsequently entering office as Prime Minister on 16 September.[2] Suga had initially announced that he would run for re-election for a full term as LDP President in advance of the 2021 general election.[7] On 3 September 2021, Suga reversed course and announced that he would not run for re-election as LDP President, amid poor approval ratings and media reports of internal dissension within the party regarding Suga's leadership.[2]

Suga's withdrawal from the race as well as the fact that most of the LDP's internal factions have declined to endorse a specific candidate led to the election being described as wide open and unpredictable.[8]

Election procedure

The election process for the President of the LDP is established in the "Rules for the Election of President of the Party".[9] In order to officially qualify as a candidate in the election, a candidate must be an LDP member of the National Diet and must receive a nomination from at least 20 fellow LDP Diet members.[9]

The LDP selects its leader via a two-round election involving both LDP members of the Diet and dues-paying party members from across Japan.[10] In the first round, all LDP members of the Diet cast one vote while party member votes are translated proportionally into votes equaling the other half of the total ballots.[10] If any candidate wins a majority (over 50%) of votes in the first round, that candidate is elected President.[10]

If no candidate receives a majority of votes in the first round, a runoff is held immediately between the top two candidates.[10] In the runoff, all Diet members vote again while the 47 prefectural chapters of the LDP get one vote each, with the result of the latter votes determined using the first round results of party members in each prefecture.[10] The candidate who wins the most votes in the runoff is then elected President.[10]

The party's secretary general can decide to organise the election with the rule of the second round only, as was decided in 2020, but didn't as for 2021.[11]

Candidates

Declared

More information Candidate(s), Date of birth ...

Withdrawn

More information Candidate(s), Date of birth ...

Declined

Endorsements

Endorsements of Fumio Kishida
Members of the National Diet
Prefectural politicians
Municipal politicians
Party factions
Other prominent individuals
Endorsements of Tarō Kōno
Members of the National Diet
Prefectural politicians
Municipal politicians
Party factions
Other prominent individuals
Endorsements of Sanae Takaichi
Members of the National Diet
Prefectural politicians
Municipal politicians
Party factions
Other prominent individuals
Endorsements of Seiko Noda
Members of the National Diet
Prefectural politicians
Municipal politicians
Party factions
Other prominent individuals

Recommenders

Opinion polling

More information Fieldwork date, Pollster/Link ...

Results

More information Candidate, 1st Round ...

Aftermath

After Prime Minister Suga announced his resignation, Kono was heavily favored to win the election as he was in first place among many LDP polls leading up to the election.[52] His campaign was endorsed by Suga and other high ranking LDP members,[53] but Kishida narrowly won the first round of the election and ultimately defeated Kono in the run-off.[50][51]

After being elected, Kishida's victory was labelled as a win for the party's "technocrats establishment".[54] Kishida was seen by many LDP members as a stable choice to succeed Suga rather than a rapid change.[54][55] Kono was seen as a candidate of change.[55] Kishida vowed not to increase the consumption tax rates in Japan and reviewing the pension and health-care system in the country.[54] He has said that his main focus would be to focus on income redistribution to address income inequality.[54]

U.S. President Joe Biden congratulated Kishida and looked "forward to working with [Kishida] to strengthen our cooperation in the years ahead".[56]

President of Taiwan Tsai Ing-wen congratulated Kishida after he was elected Prime Minister of Japan.[57]

Notes

  1. Deceased since 17 September 2021.

References

  1. "PM Suga, Kishida to vie for LDP leadership in Sept. 29 election". Kyodo News+. 26 August 2021. Retrieved 29 August 2021.
  2. "'Suga decides not to run in LDP leadership race". NHK World-Japan. 3 September 2021. Retrieved 3 September 2021.
  3. "Abe could become Japan's longest serving premier". Al Jazeera. 6 March 2017. Retrieved 28 September 2021.
  4. "Japanese PM Shinzo Abe resigns for health reasons". BBC News. 28 August 2020. Retrieved 28 September 2021.
  5. "Japan PM Abe announces his resignation at press conference". Kyodo News. 28 August 2020. Retrieved 28 August 2020.
  6. Sugiyama, Satoshi (16 September 2021). "No clear front-runner and factions divided on eve of LDP leadership campaign". The Japan Times. Retrieved 28 September 2021.
  7. "Rules for election of President". The Japan Times. Liberal Democratic Party of Japan. Retrieved 29 September 2021.
  8. Harris, Tobias (24 September 2021). "Japanese Prime Minister Suga Has No Clear Successor". Foreign Policy. Retrieved 29 September 2021.
  9. Ryotaro Nakamaru (29 August 2020). "Race to succeed Abe kicks off with no clear favorite". The Japan Times. thejapantimes. Retrieved 5 October 2021.
  10. Sugiyama, Satoshi (26 August 2021). "Fumio Kishida enters LDP leadership race as party sets voting plan". The Japan Times. Retrieved 29 August 2021.
  11. Johnston, Eric (8 September 2021). "Abe ally Sanae Takaichi enters LDP race as underdog". The Japan Times. Retrieved 9 September 2021.
  12. Takahara, Kanako (16 September 2021). "Seiko Noda makes last-minute bid for LDP presidency". The Japan Times. Retrieved 16 September 2021.
  13. "Yoshihide Suga to step down as Japan's prime minister". BBC News. 3 September 2021. Retrieved 4 September 2021.
  14. Johnston, Eric (27 August 2021). "Off to the races: LDP presidential election campaign begins". The Japan Times. Retrieved 29 August 2021.
  15. "Ex-PM Abe supports conservative ally Takaichi as Suga's successor". Kyodo News+. 4 September 2021. Archived from the original on 4 September 2021. Retrieved 4 September 2021.
  16. "Key Contender to Lead Japan Warns Taiwan Is 'Next Big Problem'". Bloomberg.com. Bloomberg. 3 September 2021. Retrieved 30 September 2021.
  17. "Former Japanese defense chief Shigeru Ishiba rules out entering LDP leadership race". Japan Times. 14 September 2021. Retrieved 14 September 2021.
  18. Lies, Elaine (14 September 2021). "Japan LDP's Ishiba set to back Kono in leadership race – report". Reuters. Retrieved 14 September 2021.
  19. "Koizumi endorses Kono as Japan's next ruling party chief". Nikkei Asia. Retrieved 14 September 2021.
  20. "下村、茂木両氏が自民党総裁選不出馬を表明". Hokkuku Shimbun (in Japanese). 9 September 2021. Retrieved 10 September 2021.
  21. "平井氏が岸田氏支持表明 現職閣僚で初". Nikkei. September 2021. Retrieved 11 September 2021.
  22. "岸田文雄氏の推薦人名簿 自民党総裁選". Nikkei. 17 September 2021. Retrieved 17 September 2021.
  23. "自民党総裁選、岸田氏支持を表明 上川法相". Nikkei. 17 September 2021. Retrieved 17 September 2021.
  24. "中谷氏、岸田氏支持を表明 谷垣G全体での支援模索". Sankei. 9 September 2021. Retrieved 11 September 2021.
  25. "広島・湯崎知事「岸田氏に期待」 菅首相の退陣表明で索". Nikkei. 3 September 2021. Retrieved 3 September 2021.
  26. "総裁選は誰に投票?鳥取・島根の自民国会議員、地方票の行方は相". Sanin ChūōTV. Archived from the original on 19 September 2021. Retrieved 19 September 2021.
  27. "谷垣グループ、岸田氏支持 自民党総裁選で中谷氏表明相". Nikkei. 15 September 2021. Retrieved 15 September 2021.
  28. "群馬・山本知事が河野氏支持表明 県議ら歓迎初". Nikkei. 15 September 2021. Retrieved 15 September 2021.
  29. "岸防衛相は高市氏支持初". Sankei. 17 September 2021. Retrieved 17 September 2021.
  30. "高市氏支持、西村・岸氏が表明". Jiji. Retrieved 19 September 2021.
  31. "自民党総裁選、野田聖子氏推薦人名簿". Sankei. 17 September 2021. Retrieved 17 September 2021.
  32. "自由民主党総裁選挙2021 9月17日告示 29日投開票". 選挙ドットコム. Retrieved 26 September 2022.
  33. "自民党総裁選「関心がある」78% 「ない」18% 毎日新聞調査" (in Japanese). Mainichi Shimbun. 25 September 2021. Retrieved 29 September 2021.
  34. "総裁誰に 河野氏43%、高市氏15%、岸田氏13% 世論調査" (in Japanese). Mainichi Shimbun. 19 September 2021. Retrieved 19 September 2021.
  35. "自民総裁選、河野氏33%、石破氏16% 朝日世論調査" (in Japanese). The Asahi Shimbun. 12 September 2021. Retrieved 16 September 2021.
  36. "Taro Kono tops opinion poll as most fit to become Japan's next PM". Kyodo News+. 5 September 2021. Archived from the original on 5 September 2021. Retrieved 6 September 2021.
  37. "Poll: Taro Kono Most Favored Candidate for Next Japanese PM". KBS World. 6 September 2021. Archived from the original on 6 September 2021. Retrieved 6 September 2021.
  38. "第27代自民党総裁に岸田文雄衆議院議員が決定" (in Japanese). The Liberal Democratic Party of Japan. Retrieved 29 September 2021.
  39. "党員投票開票結果" (PDF) (in Japanese). The Liberal Democratic Party of Japan. Archived from the original (PDF) on 30 September 2021. Retrieved 29 September 2021.
  40. Sim, Walter (4 September 2021). "Suga backs Kono, Abe picks Takaichi: Battle lines drawn in fight for Japan's top job". Straits Times. Retrieved 30 September 2021.
  41. "Here's What You Need To Know About Japan's Incoming Prime Minister". CNBC. 30 September 2021. Retrieved 30 September 2021.
  42. "Stability over change: Fumio Kishida to become Japan's new PM". Christian Science Monitor. CSMonitor. 29 September 2021. Retrieved 30 September 2021.

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