2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Washington_(state)

2020 United States presidential election in Washington (state)

2020 United States presidential election in Washington (state)

Election in Washington

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election

The 2020 United States presidential election in Washington was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 U.S. states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] Washington voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Washington has 12 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]

Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...

Prior to the election, most news organizations forecast Washington as a state that Biden would win, or a safe blue state. Biden won the state by 19.2%, the largest margin for a presidential candidate of any party since 1964. He also flipped the swing county of Clallam, which now holds the record for the longest ongoing streak of voting for the national winner, having supported the winning candidate in every election since 1980. Biden also became the candidate with the highest vote total in the state's history, with 2,369,612 votes.[4] This was the first time since 1988 that Washington voted to the left of Illinois.

The Seattle metropolitan area, home to almost two-thirds of the state's population, is overwhelmingly Democratic. Despite this, even if the votes from King, Snohomish, and Pierce counties were removed, Biden would have carried the state by over 4,000 votes.[5] However, Trump won a considerable majority in outlying communities, garnering over 70% of the vote in rural counties such as Columbia. Eastern Washington is very rural and leans Republican, partly due to the strong tinge of social conservatism it shares with neighboring Idaho, a GOP stronghold. That said, Biden was able to improve on Clinton's margin in Whitman County--anchored by the college town of Pullman--increasing it from 4.1% in 2016 to 10.2% in 2020, the best performance for a Democrat in the county since 1936. In addition, he narrowed Trump's margin in Spokane County from 8.4% to 4.3%. Biden earned 75% of the vote in King County, home to Seattle. This was the largest margin by any candidate in a presidential race since the county's creation.[6]

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength in Washington came from 59% among white voters, 73% among Latinos and 79% among Asian-Americans. 34% of voters were irreligious and supported Biden by 78%.[7] Additionally, a majority of Native Americans in the state backed Biden by about 65%, with some tribes supporting Biden by over 80%.[8] Biden also became the first Democrat since Washington's admission into the union to win the presidency without winning Mason County, the first Democrat since John F. Kennedy in 1960 to prevail without winning Cowlitz County, and the first Democrat since Woodrow Wilson in 1916 to prevail without winning Grays Harbor County and Pacific County.

Primary elections

The primaries for the major parties were on March 10, 2020. On March 14, 2019, Governor Jay Inslee signed a bill moving the state's presidential primary up from May to the second Tuesday in March.[9]

Republican primary

Donald Trump, Bill Weld, Joe Walsh, and Rocky de la Fuente had declared their candidacy for the Republican Party, but only Trump met all of the state party's criteria by the official deadline of January 21, 2020, for being included on the ballot.[10] Thus Trump essentially ran unopposed in the Republican primary, and thus he received all of Washington's 43 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[11]

More information Candidate, Votes ...
This section is an excerpt from 2020 Washington Republican presidential primary § WAresults.[edit]

Democratic primary

A number of Democratic Party candidates ran or expressed interest in running.[14][15][16] Additionally, Seattle-based billionaire Howard Schultz announced a potential bid as an independent in early 2019, but backed out in September of that year.[17] The party's candidates included on the ballot at the deadline were Michael Bennet, Joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, John Delaney, Tulsi Gabbard, Amy Klobuchar, Deval Patrick, Bernie Sanders, Tom Steyer, Elizabeth Warren and Andrew Yang.[10]

More information Candidate, Votes ...
This section is an excerpt from 2020 Washington Democratic presidential primary § WAresults.[edit]
Popular vote share by county
  Biden—30–40%
  Biden—40–50%
  Sanders—30–40%
  Sanders—40–50%

Green primary

As a minor party, Washington State's Green Party affiliate is excluded from the publicly funded Presidential Primary in Washington State. The Green Party of Washington facilitated its primary by a mail-in ballot to its members after its Spring Convention on May 23[20] (deadline was June 13).

All candidates recognized by the Green Party of the United States by April 23 were on the ballot, plus a write-in option:

General election

Final predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...

Polls

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

with Donald Trump and generic Democrat

Electoral slates

These slates of electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state:[35]

More information Joe Biden andKamala Harris Democratic Party, Donald Trump andMike Pence Republican Party ...

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

By winning nearly 58% of the vote, Joe Biden's performance was the best showing for a presidential candidate of any party in Washington since Lyndon B. Johnson's landslide victory in 1964.

By county

More information County, Joe Biden Democratic ...

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Biden won 7 of 10 congressional districts.[37]

More information District, Trump ...

See also

Notes

  1. Candidate withdrew after Super Tuesday when all-mail voting had already begun.
  2. Candidate withdrew before Super Tuesday when all-mail voting had already begun.
  3. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  5. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  6. "Another candidate" with 5%
  7. Includes "Refused"
  8. "Another candidate" with 6%
  9. "A candidate from another party" with 5%

References

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    "November 3, 2020 General Election - Voter Turnout".
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    Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
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    "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. [4]
    Farley, Josh (November 7, 2020). "What does Clallam County know? Voters just chose a winner for the tenth straight election". Kitsap Sun. Retrieved November 14, 2020.
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    "Washington Election Results". The New York Times. November 3, 2020.
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    "Washington Election Results". The New York Times. November 3, 2020.
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    "Washington Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 15, 2020.
  8. [8]
    Brazile, Liz; Browning, Paige (November 16, 2020). "This is why Native American voters in Washington state rallied behind Joe Biden". KUOW-FM. Archived from the original on November 17, 2020. Retrieved October 28, 2021.
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    "Gov. Inslee signs bill moving presidential primary up to March". KING. Associated Press. March 14, 2019. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
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    "Washington presidential primary ballot is set, even as Democratic field remains in flux". The Spokesman-Review. January 23, 2020.
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    "Washington Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved March 20, 2020.
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    "March 10, 2020 Presidential Primary Results – Statewide Results". Washington Secretary of State. March 27, 2020. Archived from the original on March 31, 2020. Retrieved March 31, 2020.
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    "Washington Republican Primary Results". USA Today. Retrieved March 31, 2020.
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    Taylor, Kate (February 9, 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
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    Zhou, Li (January 21, 2019). "Kamala Harris announces her historic 2020 presidential campaign". Vox. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
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    Detrow, Scott (February 1, 2019). "Cory Booker Makes It Official: He's Running For President In 2020". NPR. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
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    Emily Birnbaum (January 27, 2019). "Howard Schultz makes Twitter debut amid 2020 speculation". The Hill. Retrieved January 27, 2019.
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    "March 10, 2020 Presidential Primary Results – Statewide Results". Washington Secretary of State. March 27, 2020. Archived from the original on March 31, 2020. Retrieved March 31, 2020.
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    "Green Party Presidential Primary". March 23, 2020.
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    "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
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    "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
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    2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
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    David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
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    "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
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    "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
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    "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
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    "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  35. [35]
    "2020 Electoral College Electors". Washington Secretary of State. Retrieved November 19, 2020.
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    "November 3, 2020 General Election Results". Washington Secretary of State. Retrieved November 21, 2020.
  37. [37]
    Results. sos.wa.gov (Report). Archived from the original (PDF) on November 24, 2020.
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