2015_Balearic_regional_election

2015 Balearic regional election

2015 Balearic regional election

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The 2015 Balearic regional election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 9th Parliament of the autonomous community of the Balearic Islands. All 59 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Quick Facts All 59 seats in the Parliament of the Balearic Islands 30 seats needed for a majority, Registered ...

All in all, the election resulted in the loss of the parliamentary majority by the People's Party (PP), together with its worst election result ever in the islands. The Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands (PSIB) also saw losses, but could form a coalition government, led by socialist Francina Armengol, together with More for Mallorca (Més) and More for Menorca (MpM), obtaining confidence and supply support from We Can (Podemos/Podem) and the People for Formentera (GxF) deputy. It was the first time that left-wing parties had a majority of seats in the Balearic parliament, with previous PSIB-led governments having required the support of centrist Majorcan Union (UM) to rule in 1999 and 2007. Opposition, aside from PP, was formed by Proposta per les Illes (El Pi) and Citizens (C's), both obtaining their whole representation in Mallorca, but being close to winning seats in Ibiza and Menorca, respectively—in the latter, Ciutadella de Menorca People's Union represented the C's Menorcan branch.

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of the Balearic Islands was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of the Balearic Islands, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Balearic Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]

Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Balearic Islands and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Balearic people abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2] The 59 members of the Parliament of the Balearic Islands were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the islands of Mallorca, Menorca, Ibiza and Formentera, with each being allocated a fixed number of seats: 33 for Mallorca, 13 for Menorca, 12 for Ibiza and 1 for Formentera.[1][3]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of the Balearic Islands expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Balearic Islands (BOIB), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 22 May 2011, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 22 May 2015. The election decree was required to be published in the BOIB no later than 28 April 2015, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 21 June 2015.[1][3][4]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of the Balearic Islands and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a sixty-day period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1]

Background

29 September 2013 demonstration.

In the 2011 election, the People's Party (PP), led by José Ramón Bauzá, regained an absolute majority, and Bauzá was elected president on 15 June 2011. A series of controversial and unpopular decrees and laws followed, the most discussed involving the language of the Balearic Islands—Catalan in its island dialects—and the education. These generated record-attendance demonstrations, the most important one on 29 September 2013, when more than 70,000 people demonstrated in Palma protesting, amongst other things, against the changes in the language decree. It established more school hours in Spanish and English, however the majority of public schools and their teachers were not prepared to carry it out.[5]

The main opposition party, the Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands (PSIB), elected Francina Armengol as its new leader in February 2012 in substitution of former President of the Balearic Islands Francesc Antich.[6]

During the 2011–2015 legislature, Agreement for Mallorca (ExM) joined the coalition between the Socialist Party of Mallorca (PSM) and InitiativeGreens (IV) in 2013. It was renamed as More for Mallorca (Més) in October 2013, with PSM leader Biel Barceló as its Secretary General.[7] Its sister party Socialist Party of Menorca formed the coalition More for Menorca (MpM) with the Greens of Menorca and Equo Menorca in July 2014.[8]

The disbanded Majorcan Union (UM) had resulted in two parties with similar political views in the 2011 election: Convergence for the Isles (CxI)—the political heir of UM—and Regionalist League of the Balearic Islands (IB–Lliga). None of them obtained representation in the Parliament. In November 2012, they both united with other local parties to create a new party called Proposal for the Isles (El Pi) to contest in the 2015 election not only in Mallorca, but also in Menorca and Ibiza. Jaume Font, former PP member and IB–Lliga leader, was elected as its president.[9]

In addition, the Spanish politics were observing the growth of new parties like We Can (Podemos/Podem) in the left and young parties like Citizens (C's) in the center-right. In their regional branches, Alberto Jarabo was elected as the Secretary General of Podemos in February 2015,[10] while Xavier Pericay was elected as C's candidate in April 2015.[11]

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[3][4]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

More information Parties and coalitions, Ideology ...

Election debates

More information Date, Organisers ...

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 30 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of the Balearic Islands.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Results

Overall

More information Parties and alliances, Popular vote ...
More information Popular vote ...
More information Seats ...

Distribution by constituency

More information Constituency, PP ...

Aftermath

Further information: First government of Francina Armengol
More information Ballot →, 30 June 2015 ...

See also

Notes

  1. Aggregated data for PP and PP–GUIF–Sa Unió in the 2015 election.
  2. Data for PSM–IV–ExM in the 2011 election.
  3. Aggregated data for IB–Lliga, CxI and UMe in the 2011 election.
  4. Aggregated data for PSM–EN and EV–Me in the 2011 election.
  5. Includes Gent per Formentera in Formentera.
  6. Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  7. Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.
  8. University and employment debate.
  9. Education and university debate.
  10. Within El Pi.
  11. Within PSIB–PSOE.
  12. Within C's.
  13. Within Més.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. [p 1]
    "Encuestas y resultados - elecciones autonómicas y municipales del 24 de mayo de 2015". GAD3 (in Spanish). 28 May 2015.
  2. [p 2]
    "El PP mantendría sin apoyos Castilla y León, Castilla-La Mancha, Murcia y La Rioja". La Razón (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  3. [p 3]
    "Cantabria: Ignacio Diego dependerá del PRC o de los socialistas para gobernar". La Razón (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  4. [p 4]
    "Islas Baleares. Encuesta mayo 2015" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 17 May 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2016-03-04.
  5. [p 5]
    "ISLAS BALEARES, Mayo 2015. Sondeo IBES". Electograph (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  6. [p 6]
    "Ciudadanos tendrá la llave del Govern". El Mundo (in Spanish). 3 May 2015.
  7. [p 7]
    "El PP pierde diez diputados y puede que no le baste un pacto con Ciutadans". Diario de Mallorca (in Spanish). 18 April 2015.
  8. [p 8]
    "Caminant cap a les eleccions (V): Un escenari més obert que mai" (PDF). Gadeso (in Catalan). 19 April 2015.
  9. [p 9]
    "ISLAS BALEARES, Abril 2015. Sondeo Gadeso". Electograph (in Spanish). 19 April 2015.
  10. [P 10]
    "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas 2015. Comunidad Autónoma de las Islas Baleares (Estudio nº 3068. Marzo-Abril 2015)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 7 May 2015.
  11. [P 11]
    "Sánchez se lanza al ataque como "única alternativa a la derecha"". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 8 May 2015.
  12. [P 12]
    "Empate de las opciones de derecha e izquierda a menos de dos meses de las elecciones". Última Hora (in Spanish). 5 April 2015.
  13. [P 13]
    "Encuesta de voto al Parlamento Balear Abril-15". IBES (in Spanish). 5 April 2015.
  14. [P 14]
    "ISLAS BALEARES, Marzo 2015. Sondeo IBES". Electograph (in Spanish). 5 April 2015.
  15. [P 15]
    "El PP seguirá siendo el más votado en las CC AA pese a la caída en apoyos". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 April 2015.
  16. [P 16]
    "Islas Baleares: El PP pierde fuelle, aunque sigue siendo el partido con más respaldo". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 April 2015.
  17. [P 17]
    "Islas Baleares. Encuesta marzo 2015" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 20 April 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2015-04-27.
  18. [P 18]
    "El futuro Govern, a merced de los pactos postelectorales". Última Hora (in Spanish). 22 February 2015.
  19. [P 19]
    "Barómetro Sociopolítico feb15". IBES (in Spanish). 21 February 2015.
  20. [P 20]
    "ISLAS BALEARES, Febrero 2015. Sondeo IBES". Electograph (in Spanish). 22 February 2015.
  21. [P 21]
    "El reparto del poder territorial en España en 2015" (PDF). desarrollando-ideas.com (in Spanish). 31 October 2014.
  22. [P 22]
    "Podemos será imprescindible para que la izquierda desaloje al PP del Govern". Última Hora (in Spanish). 4 October 2014.
  23. [P 23]
    "Sondeo electoral en Baleares. Octubre14 (Parlamento)". IBES (in Spanish). 5 October 2014.
  24. [P 24]
    "ISLAS BALEARES / ILLES BALEARS, Septiembre 2014. IBES". Electograph (in Spanish). 5 October 2014.
  25. [P 25]
    "Podemos logra entrar en el Parlament, el PSIB se hunde y el PP pierde la mayoría". Última Hora (in Spanish). 29 June 2014.
  26. [P 26]
    "Pronóstico elecciones autonómicas (Junio 2014)". IBES (in Spanish). 29 June 2014.
  27. [P 27]
    "ISLAS BALEARES / ILLES BALEARS, Junio 2014. IBES". Electograph (in Spanish). 29 June 2014.
  28. [P 28]
    "Proyección del resultado de las europeas en los parlamentos autonómicos". El País (in Spanish). 31 May 2014.
  29. [P 29]
    "El PP ganaría de nuevo en 9 de 13 autonomías". La Razón (in Spanish). 18 November 2013. Archived from the original on 3 March 2016.
  30. [P 30]
    "Encuesta autonómicas NC Report noviembre 2013" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 18 November 2013. Archived from the original (PDF) on 3 March 2016. Retrieved 22 February 2015.
  31. [P 31]
    "El PP se aleja de la mayoría absoluta en Balears en el ecuador de la legislatura". Última Hora (in Spanish). 30 June 2013.
  32. [P 32]
    "Sondeo Baleares junio2013". IBES (in Spanish). 23 July 2013.
  33. [P 33]
    "Barómetro de Opinión sobre la situación general de la Comunidad Balear. 5ª oleada. Jun13" (PDF). IBES (in Spanish). 23 July 2013.
  34. [P 34]
    "El PP mantiene el poder autonómico". La Razón (in Spanish). 13 May 2013.
  35. [P 35]
    "Repite la mayoría absoluta: Castilla-La Mancha, Baleares, Castilla y León, Región de Murcia y La Rioja". La Razón (in Spanish). 13 May 2013.
  36. [P 36]
    "El PP ganaría en la mayoría de las autonomías (La Razón)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 13 May 2013. Archived from the original on 4 March 2016.
  37. [P 37]
    "El Partido Popular perdería la mayoría absoluta tras un año y medio en el Govern". Última Hora (in Spanish). 29 December 2012.
  38. [P 38]
    "Encuesta sobre el primer año de Gobierno-Bauzá (Junio12)". IBES (in Spanish). 30 December 2012.
  39. [P 39]
    "Barómetro de Opinión sobre la situación general de la Comunidad Balear. 4ª oleada. Dic12" (PDF). IBES (in Spanish). 30 December 2012.
  40. [P 40]
    "El PP bajaría de 35 a 33 diputados tras el primer año del Govern de Bauzá". Última Hora (in Spanish). 17 June 2012.
  41. [P 41]
    "Encuesta sobre el primer año de Gobierno-Bauzá (Junio12)". IBES (in Spanish). 18 June 2012.
  42. [P 42]
    "Encuesta de Opinión sobre el primer año de gobierno" (PDF). IBES (in Spanish). 18 June 2012. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2015-02-22.
  43. [P 43]
    "El PP balear volvería a ganar las elecciones a pesar del rechazo a su gestión". Diario de Mallorca (in Spanish). 18 March 2012.
  44. [P 44]
    "Posicionament ciutadà (XXXIV). Si ara hi hagués eleccions..." (PDF). Gadeso (in Catalan). 18 March 2012.
  45. [P 45]
    "Los ciudadanos dan un aprobado raspado al Govern de Bauzá en sus primeros cien días". Última Hora (in Spanish). 24 September 2011.
Other
  1. [1]
    Ley Orgánica 1/2007, de 28 de febrero, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía de las Illes Balears. Boletín Oficial del Estado (Organic Law 1) (in Spanish). 28 February 2007. Retrieved 13 September 2017.
  2. [2]
    Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  3. [3]
    Ley 8/1986, de 26 de noviembre, Electoral de la Comunidad Autónoma de las Islas Baleares. Boletín Oficial del Estado (Law 8) (in Spanish). 26 November 1986. Retrieved 13 September 2017.
  4. [4]
    Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General. Boletín Oficial del Estado (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
  5. [5]
    "La marea verde colapsa Palma en la mayor manifestación de la historia de Mallorca". Diario de Mallorca (in Spanish). 29 September 2013. Retrieved 16 November 2017.
  6. [6]
    "García-Page, nuevo Secretario General de Castilla La Mancha, Francina Armengol liderará a los socialistas baleares y César Luena dirigirá la Federación riojana". PSOE (in Spanish). 25 February 2012. Retrieved 16 November 2017.
  7. [7]
    "MÉS se transforma en un solo proyecto político liderado por Biel Barceló". Diario de Mallorca (in Spanish). 26 October 2013. Retrieved 16 November 2017.
  8. [8]
    "Nace MÉS per Menorca, como 'un nuevo movimiento menorquinista y ecologista'". El Mundo (in Spanish). 21 July 2014. Retrieved 16 November 2017.
  9. [9]
    "Nace Proposta per les Illes, un partido "balearista, centrista y defensor del catalán"". El Mundo (in Spanish). 2 November 2012. Retrieved 16 November 2017.
  10. [10]
    "Jarabo, líder de Podemos en Balears". Última Hora (in Spanish). 14 February 2015. Retrieved 16 November 2017.
  11. [11]
    "Xavier Pericay, 'número 1' de Ciudadanos al Parlament balear". El Mundo (in Spanish). 13 April 2015. Retrieved 16 November 2017.
  12. [12]
    "Discrepancias en educación y pactos centran un debate tuitero de candidatos" (in Spanish). Diario de Mallorca. 12 May 2015. Retrieved 7 March 2020.
  13. [13]
    "Els debats electorals a la UIB, en vídeo" (in Catalan). Universitat de les Illes Balears. 21 May 2015. Retrieved 7 March 2020.
  14. [14]
    "Francina Armengol y José Ramón Bauzá, en el cara a cara de IB3" (in Spanish). Última Hora. 21 May 2015. Retrieved 7 March 2020.
  15. [15]
    "89.000 personas vieron el cara a cara" (in Spanish). Mallorca Diario. 21 May 2015. Retrieved 7 March 2020.
  16. [16]
    "Sanidad y Educación elevan la tensión en el debate electoral del Club de Diario de Mallorca" (in Spanish). Diario de Mallorca. 21 May 2015. Retrieved 7 March 2020.
  17. [17]
    "Parliament of the Balearic Islands election results, 24 May 2015" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of the Balearic Islands. 4 June 2015. Retrieved 28 September 2017.
  18. [18]
    "Eleccions al Parlament de les Illes Balears i Consells Insulars (1979 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Catalan). Retrieved 28 September 2017.
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