2011_Valencian_regional_election

2011 Valencian regional election

2011 Valencian regional election

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The 2011 Valencian regional election was held on Sunday, 22 May 2011, to elect the 8th Corts of the Valencian Community. All 99 seats in the Corts were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Quick Facts All 99 seats in the Corts Valencianes 50 seats needed for a majority, Registered ...

The election was won by the People's Party (PP), which increased its majority despite a drop in its vote share. The Socialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV–PSOE) continued its long term decline and, similarly to the PSOE's performance in other regions with concurrent elections, it sustained severed damage from voters—weary of the ongoing financial crisis affecting the country—and obtained one of its worst electoral results since the autonomous community's inception. On the other hand, the electoral alliance between United Left of the Valencian Country (EUPV) and the Valencian Nationalist Bloc (Bloc) which contested the 2007 election had dissolved, with both parties entering the legislature much at the expense of the declining PSOE. The Bloc, running together with Valencian People's Initiative (IdPV) and The Greens–Ecologist Left of the Valencian Country (EV–EE) under the Coalició Compromís umbrella, entered parliament on its own for the first time in history.

As a result of the election, Francisco Camps was re-elected president for a third term in office in June 2011. However, his alleged implication in the Gürtel corruption scandal would see his resigned just one months into his term in July,[1] being succeeded by Alberto Fabra, who would remain in the post for the remainder of the legislature.[2]

Overview

Electoral system

The Corts Valencianes were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the Valencian autonomous community, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Valencian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[3] Voting for the Corts was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Valencian Community and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2011 required for Valencians abroad to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[4]

The 99 members of the Corts Valencianes were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Alicante, Castellón and Valencia, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 39 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in any given province did not exceed three times that of any other).[3][5]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Corts constituency was entitled the following seats:[6]

More information Seats, Constituencies ...

Election date

After legal amendments in 2006 taking effect after the 2007 election, fixed-term mandates were abolished, instead allowing the term of the Corts Valencianes to expire after an early dissolution. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of the Valencian Government (DOGV), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 27 May 2007, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 27 May 2011. The election decree was required to be published no later than 3 May 2011, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Corts on Sunday, 26 June 2011.[3][5][7]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Corts Valencianes and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Corts were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[3]

The Corts Valencianes were officially dissolved on 29 March 2011 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the DOGV, setting the election date for 22 May and scheduling for the chamber to convene on 9 June.[6]

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[5][7]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

More information Candidacy, Parties and alliances ...

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 50 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Corts Valencianes.

Color key:

  Exit poll

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Valencian Government.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Predicted President

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Results

Overall

More information Parties and alliances, Popular vote ...
More information Popular vote ...
More information Seats ...

Distribution by constituency

More information Constituency, PP ...

Aftermath

Government formation

More information Ballot →, 16 June 2011 ...

July 2011 investiture

More information Ballot →, 26 July 2011 ...

Notes

  1. Within the Compromís PV alliance in the 2007 election.
  2. Results for Compromís PV in the 2007 election.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. "Camps gana con menos votos pero más escaños, según un sondeo". El Economista (in Spanish). 22 May 2011.
  2. "El PP blinda sus feudos". La Razón (in Spanish). 16 May 2011. Archived from the original on 16 September 2011.
  3. "Camps sumaría 4 diputados más a su mayoría pese al acoso de Ferraz". La Gaceta (in Spanish). 8 May 2011. Archived from the original on 11 May 2011. Retrieved 15 May 2011.
  4. "Camps sumaría 4 diputados a su mayoría (La Gaceta)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 8 May 2011. Archived from the original on 11 May 2011. Retrieved 1 March 2015.
  5. "El PP obtendrá entre 22 y 26 escaños más que el PSPV en las próximas elecciones". Las Provincias (in Spanish). 8 May 2011. Archived from the original on 16 April 2018. Retrieved 15 April 2018.
  6. "Comunidad Valenciana: PP crece a costa de PSPV y EU (Grupo Vocento)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 8 May 2011. Archived from the original on 11 May 2011. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
  7. "Los cuatro inexpugnables". La Razón (in Spanish). 25 April 2011. Archived from the original on 26 April 2011.
  8. "Barómetro electoral autonómico" (PDF). Celeste-Tel (in Spanish). 9 May 2011.[permanent dead link]
  9. "El PSOE fija su objetivo: salvar los muebles". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 6 May 2011.
  10. "El PP de Valencia amplía su mayoría". COPE (in Spanish). 18 April 2011. Archived from the original on 29 September 2011.
  11. "Encuesta COPE socio-electoral en la Comunitat Valenciana" (PDF). GAD (in Spanish). 18 April 2011. Archived from the original (PDF) on 23 November 2011.
  12. "Camps amplía la mayoría (COPE)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 18 April 2011. Archived from the original on 23 April 2011. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
  13. "El Mundo 25-27 de Abril 2011". El Mundo (in Spanish). 25 April 2011.
  14. "El PP a 20 puntos del PSPV (El Mundo)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 25 April 2011. Archived from the original on 29 April 2011. Retrieved 16 August 2014.
  15. "Camps conserva la mayoría absoluta pese a la corrupción". Público (in Spanish). 11 April 2011. Archived from the original on 14 April 2011. Retrieved 15 April 2011.
  16. "EU eleva sus posibilidades de entrar en Les Corts (Valenciaplaza.com)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 12 April 2011. Archived from the original on 16 April 2011. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
  17. "Camps sube pese a 'Gürtel' y el PSOE se hunde". El Mundo (in Spanish). 6 January 2011.
  18. "Camps arrasa (El Mundo)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 7 January 2011. Archived from the original on 4 March 2011. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
  19. "El PP duplica en votos al PSOE en la Comunidad Valenciana (sondeo del PSOE)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 26 November 2010. Archived from the original on 28 January 2011. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
  20. "La corrupción no pasa factura al PP". El País (in Spanish). 9 October 2010.
  21. "Encuesta en la Comunitat Valenciana (octubre de 2010)" (PDF). PP (in Spanish). 8 October 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on 14 September 2011.
  22. "El PP aumenta su ventaja en la Comunidad Valenciana (Las Provincias)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 26 September 2010. Archived from the original on 12 October 2010. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
  23. "Caso electoral histórico en más comunidades autónomas (El Mundo)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 1 June 2010. Archived from the original on 21 October 2010. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
  24. "Camps subiría 4 escaños a costa del PSPV y de EU (Encuesta del PSPV)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 21 May 2010. Archived from the original on 4 August 2010. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
  25. "Camps gana en todas las encuestas". La Razón (in Spanish). 1 June 2010. Archived from the original on 4 June 2010. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
  26. "Bipartidismo en las Cortes Valencianas (Valenciaplaza.com)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 11 May 2010. Archived from the original on 6 June 2010. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
  27. "Camps refuerza su mayoría". Público (in Spanish). 4 April 2010. Archived from the original on 19 May 2011.
  28. "Publiscopio para la Comunidad Valenciana: el PP amplía su mayoría". Electómetro (in Spanish). 5 April 2010. Archived from the original on 6 November 2011.
  29. "El trasfondo de una encuesta". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 26 December 2009.
  30. "Encuesta en la Comunitat Valenciana (diciembre de 2009)" (PDF). PP (in Spanish). 26 December 2009.
  31. "La situación política y económica actual". El Mundo (in Spanish). 10 November 2009.
  32. "El PP se mantiene y Camps pierde crédito". El País (in Spanish). 9 October 2009.
  33. "Los valencianos creen que Camps mintió". El País (in Spanish). 9 October 2009.
  34. "El PPCV se defiende de los ataques con una encuesta que le da la victoria". Diario Información (in Spanish). 27 September 2009.
  35. "El bipartidismo se consolida". El País (in Spanish). 9 October 2008.
Other
  1. Pérez, Iván; Álvarez, Francisco; Hernández, Marisol (21 July 2011). "Francisco Camps dimite". El Mundo (in Spanish). Valencia. Retrieved 16 January 2022.
  2. Prats, Jaime (21 July 2011). "Alberto Fabra sustituye a Camps al frente del PP y de la Generalitat". El País (in Spanish). Valencia. Retrieved 16 January 2022.
  3. Ley Orgánica 5/1982, de 1 de julio, de Estatuto de Autonomía de la Comunidad Valenciana (Organic Law 1) (in Spanish). 1 July 1982. Retrieved 17 March 2017.
  4. Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  5. Ley 1/1987, de 31 de marzo, Electoral Valenciana (Law 2) (in Spanish). 31 March 1987. Retrieved 17 March 2017.
  6. "Decreto 2/2011, de 28 de marzo, del president de la Generalitat, de disolución de Les Corts y de convocatoria de elecciones a las mismas" (PDF). Diari Oficial de la Generalitat Valenciana (in Spanish) (6490): 13065–13066. 29 March 2011. ISSN 0212-8195.
  7. Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
  8. "Electoral Results. Electoral Data - Regional Election: 2011". www.cortsvalencianes.es (in Spanish). Valencian Government. Retrieved 29 November 2019.
  9. "Corts Valencianes election results, 22 May 2011" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of the Valencian Community. 7 June 2011. Retrieved 30 September 2017.
  10. "Eleccions a les Corts Valencianes (1983 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 September 2017.

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