2010_New_Brunswick_general_election

2010 New Brunswick general election

2010 New Brunswick general election

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The 2010 New Brunswick general election was held on September 27, 2010, to elect 55 members to the 57th New Brunswick Legislative Assembly, the governing house of the province of New Brunswick, Canada. The incumbent Liberal government won 13 seats, while the opposition Progressive Conservatives won a landslide majority of 42 seats in the legislature. As leader of the PC party, David Alward became New Brunswick's 32nd premier.

Quick Facts 55 seats of the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick 28 seats needed for a majority, Turnout ...

The Lieutenant-Governor of New Brunswick – acting on the advice of the Premier – would have originally been able to call an election earlier or as late as 2011; however a bill in the 56th Legislature has fixed election dates to the fourth Monday of September every four years beginning with this election.[2]

With the defeat of Liberals, this election marked the first time in New Brunswick's history that a political party was voted out of office after just one term.[3]

Timeline

2006

2007

  • March 5, 2007 - Liberal Chris Collins wins Lord's former seat in Moncton East changing the standings in the legislature to 30 Liberals, 25 Progressive Conservatives.
  • April 17, 2007 - Progressive Conservatives Joan MacAlpine-Stiles and Wally Stiles cross the floor and join the Liberals changing the standings in the legislature to Liberals 32, Progressive Conservatives 23.
  • May 29, 2007 - Government House Leader Stuart Jamieson tables Bill 75 which would fix election dates to the fourth Monday of September every four years beginning on September 27 in 2010.
  • October 13, 2007 - The NDP elect Roger Duguay as their new leader.

2008

  • May 17, 2008 - The Green Party of New Brunswick is formed. Mike Milligan is elected as the interim leader of the party until a convention can be held in the fall.
  • October 18, 2008 – David Alward is elected as leader of the Progressive Conservative Party.
  • November 3, 2008 - Progressive Conservative Jack Carr holds a seat previously held by fellow Progressive Conservative Keith Ashfield who was elected as Conservative MP for Fredericton restoring the standings in the legislature to 32 Liberals, 23 Progressive Conservatives.

2009

2010

  • January 4, 2010 - Justice Minister Michael Murphy unexpectedly resigns his seat to "spend more time with his family and return to practising law".[8]
  • February 5, 2010 - Cabinet Minister Stuart Jamieson is forced to leave his cabinet post for suggesting that the NB power deal be put to a referendum.
  • March 24, 2010 - Premier Shawn Graham announces that the proposed sale of NB Power has been canceled.[9]
  • May 10, 2010 - Premier Shawn Graham shuffles the New Brunswick cabinet. Bernard LeBlanc is reinstated as minister of justice, and also named the first minister responsible for public engagement. Brian Kenny is promoted to the tourism portfolio. Cheryl Lavoie enters cabinet as minister of state for seniors. Donald Arseneault gains title of deputy premier.[10]
  • May 19, 2010 - Progressive Conservatives release Vision for Citizen Engagement and Responsible Government, a pre-campaign document that outlines the PC strategy to improve citizen engagement.[11]
  • June 9, 2010 - People's Alliance officially forms the newest N.B. political party under the leadership of former Tory Kris Austin.[12]
  • September 27, 2010 - David Alward is elected into office as Premier of New Brunswick.

Results

More information Party, Party leader ...

* Party did not run candidates in the last election

More information Popular vote ...
More information Seats summary ...

Results by region

More information Party Name, Central ...

Results by place

More information Seats, Second ...

Target ridings

The following is a list of ridings which were narrowly lost by the indicated party. For instance, under the Liberal column are the 10 seats in which they came closest to winning from the Conservatives, while under the Conservative column are the 10 seats in which they came closest to winning from the Liberals. Listed is the name of the riding, and the margin, in terms of percentage of the vote, by which the party lost.

These ridings are likely to be targeted by the specified party because the party lost them by a very slim margin in the 2006 election.

Up to 10 are shown, with a maximum margin of victory of 15%. No party or independent candidate, other than the Liberals or Progressive Conservatives, came within 15% of winning any seats.

* Indicates incumbent not running again.

To clarify further; this is a list of provincial general election winners with their party in parentheses, and their margin as a percentage of the vote over the party whose list the seat is on (not the same as the margin of victory if the party potentially "targeting" the seat in that list did not finish second in the previous election). "Won" means that the targeting party won the seat from the incumbent party. "Held" means the incumbent party held the seat.

Liberal Progressive Conservative
  1. Dieppe Centre-Lewisville 0.7%* (won)
  2. Rothesay 1.5% (held)
  3. York 2.4% (held)
  4. Charlotte-Campobello 4.4%* (held)
  5. Saint John Portland 4.6% (held)
  6. Moncton West 4.8%* (won by PCs)
  7. New Maryland-Sunbury West 9.0% (held)
  8. Tracadie-Sheila 10.1% (held)
  9. Moncton Crescent 12.9% (held)
  10. Woodstock 13.0% (held)
  1. Fredericton-Nashwaaksis 2.0% (won)
  2. Bathurst 2.8% (held)
  3. Grand Lake-Gagetown 3.0%* (won)
  4. Fundy-River Valley 3.3% (won)
  5. Moncton North 4.3%* (won by PCs)
  6. Fredericton-Silverwood 6.5% (won)
  7. Nepisiguit 6.9% (won)
  8. Kent 7.0% (held)
  9. Quispamsis 7.3% (won)
  10. Southwest Miramichi 7.6% (won)

The ridings of Moncton East, Moncton West, Restigouche-La-Vallée and Petitcodiac are also likely to be targeted by the Conservatives as all have switched to the Liberals since the 2006 election. Moncton East and Restigouche-La-Vallée were carried by the Liberals in by-elections while the MLAs for Moncton West and Petitcodiac crossed the floor from the PCs to the Liberals.

Opinion polls

More information Polling Firm, Date of Polling ...

Candidates

Retiring incumbents

The following sitting MLAs have announced that they will not seek re-election.

Candidates by riding

Legend

  • bold denotes cabinet minister or party leader
  • italics denotes a potential candidate who has not received his/her party's nomination
  • † denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election

Northeast

More information Electoral district, Candidates ...

Southeast

More information Electoral district, Candidates ...

^a - Collins won the seat in a by-election on March 5, 2007. The seat was previously held by Progressive Conservative former premier Bernard Lord.

^b - MacAlpine-Stiles crossed the floor to the Liberals on April 17, 2007. She previously sat as a Progressive Conservative.

^c - Stiles crossed the floor to the Liberals on April 17, 2007. He previously sat as a Progressive Conservative.

Southwest

More information Electoral district, Candidates ...

Central

More information Electoral district, Candidates ...
^d - Carr won the seat in a by-election on November 3, 2008. The seat was previously held by fellow Progressive Conservative Keith Ashfield.

Northwest

More information Electoral district, Candidates ...
^e - Paulin won the seat in a by-election on March 9, 2009. The seat was previously held by Progressive Conservative Percy Mockler.

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