Straw_polls_for_the_2012_Republican_Party_presidential_primaries

Straw polls for the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries

Straw polls for the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries

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This is a list of straw polls that have been conducted relating to the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries.

Quick Facts Candidate, Home state ...
A line graph showing the top 5 frontrunners in 2011 based on straw poll results

Total Straw Poll Victories (Updated March 20, 2012)

Total Straw Poll Victories is as follows:

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Straw Poll Victories After Voting Started (Updated March 20, 2012)

The number of Straw Poll victories after voting started is as follows:

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Straw polls taken before voting started

Results from the 2011 New Hampshire Straw Poll were as follows:[3]

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February 10–12, 2011, Washington, D.C.CPAC Straw Poll

Results from the 2011 CPAC Straw Poll were as follows:[4]

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Results from the 2011 Tea Party Straw Poll were as follows:

Onsite Poll

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Online Poll

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Combined Polls

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Results from the 2011 Dorchester Conference Straw Poll were as follows:[5]

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Results from the 2011 National League of Cities Straw Poll were as follows:[6]

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The "50 or so votes" referenced in all articles on this ballot can only mean that there were either 32 or 64 votes given the percentages above (i.e. 3% of the vote is either 1 vote or 2 votes). Human estimation tendencies would lean towards the real answer being 64 votes.

March 20, 2011, Sacramento, California – Republican Liberty Caucus of California Presidential Straw Poll

Republican Liberty Caucus straw poll at the 2011 California Republican convention:[7]

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Finishing with less than ten votes were, in order, John R. Bolton (8), Gary Johnson (7), Herman Cain (5), Haley Barbour (4), Rick Santorum (4), Jon Huntsman, Jr. (3), Donald Trump (3), Chris Christie (2), Jim DeMint (2), Marco Rubio (2), Scott Walker (2), Paul Ryan (1), Colin Powell (1), Allen West (1), Tom McClintock (1), Dana Perino (1), and None of the Above (1).[7]

March 31, 2011, Goffstown, New Hampshire - St. Anselm College Republicans Straw Poll

Karger wins St. Anselm straw poll

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April 3, 2011, York County, South Carolina - South Carolina Straw Poll

South Carolina straw poll as part of the Grassroots SC campaign:[8]

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Also appearing on the ballot but failing to get more than 5% were, in alphabetical order, Haley Barbour, John R. Bolton, Herman Cain, Mitch Daniels, Jon Huntsman, Jr., Gary Johnson, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul and Rick Santorum.

April 15, 2011, Charleston County - Republican Party Straw Poll

Source of results: CNN[9]

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April 16, 2011, Georgia's 3rd congressional district - Georgia 3rd District Convention Straw Poll

Georgia straw poll as part of the 3rd District Republican convention:[10]

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May 5–6, 2011, Columbia, South Carolina – South Carolina Republican Party Convention presidential straw poll

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[11]

May 6, 2011, Washington state – Washington GOP 29th Annual Spring Gala straw poll

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[12]

May 15, 2011, Kauai County, Hawaii – Hawaii GOP Presidential straw poll

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[13] Arithmetic shows 59 votes were canvassed in the straw poll (all rounded-percentages above are multiples of 1.69%).

June 16–18, 2011, New Orleans, LouisianaRepublican Leadership Conference Straw Poll

Source of results: Republican Leadership Conference[14]

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June 19, 2011, Clay County, Iowa - Republican Party Straw Poll

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[15]

July 22, 2011, Ohio Republican Party - Ohio Republican Party Presidential Straw Poll

Source of results: Politico[16]

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Source of results:[17]

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August 4, 2011, Harrington, Delaware - Delaware State Fair GOP Straw Poll

Source of results:[18]

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August 13, 2011, Hilton Coliseum, Ames, Iowa - Iowa Straw Poll

Source of results: Washington Examiner and National Journal[19][20]

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^1 The day after the poll, on August 14, Tim Pawlenty announced his withdrawal from the race after his third-place finish.[21]

^2 Rick Perry, who was not on the poll ballot and only appeared as a write-in candidate, formally announced his candidacy while in South Carolina on the same day that the poll took place.[22]

^3 In June, two months before the poll, presidential candidate Mitt Romney, who had won the 2007 Ames Straw Poll, announced that he would skip the 2011 Ames Straw Poll.[23]

August 15, 2011, Milwaukee, Wisconsin - Wisconsin State Fair straw poll

Source of results:[24]

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August 20, 2011, New Hampshire - New Hampshire Young Republicans Straw Poll

Source of results: Hampton-NorthHamptonPatch[25]

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August 27, 2011, Georgia - Georgia State GOP Straw Poll

Source of results: Politico[26]

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September 9, 2011, Maryland - Maryland GOP Straw Poll

Source of results: Republican Party of Maryland[27]

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September 12, 2011 Cincinnati Tea Party Straw Poll

A straw poll was held at the September 12 Republican debate, to find out who the debate audience thought were the front runners, both before and after the debate. Before the debate, Ron Paul came first, Rick Perry came second, and Michele Bachmann came third. After the debate, Ron Paul was still first, Michele Bachmann came second, and Herman Cain came third.[28] CNN have not released the full results of this poll, instead holding an online poll which omitted Ron Paul from the choices. The winner of the online poll was Mitt Romney.

Pre-Debate Poll

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Post-Debate Poll

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September 16, 2011 Harrisburg, Pennsylvania straw poll

Former senator Rick Santorum won first place in a straw poll among Pennsylvania Republicans, winning 36% of the vote. Governor Mitt Romney won 25%, and Governor Rick Perry won 18%.[29]

September 17 California GOP Straw Poll

The California Republican Party held a straw poll in mid-September 2011, which was won by Ron Paul. The full results were:

Source of results: Politico[30]

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September 24 Florida GOP Presidency 5 Straw Poll

The Florida Republican Party held a straw poll at the end of September 2011,[31] which was won by Herman Cain. Political analysts attributed Cain's win to Perry's poor debate performances, but others pointed to the fact that Cain won the Florida straw poll after campaigning in-person throughout the state more than Perry.[32]

The full results were:

Source of results:[33]

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September 23–25, 2011, Michigan Republican Party Mackinac Republican Leadership Conference Straw Poll

Source of results:[34][35]

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October 1, 2011, National Federation of Republican Women Straw Poll

Source of results:[36][37]

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October 1, 2011, TeaCon Midwest Straw Poll

Source of results:[38]

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The vote for Obama was attributed to a vote by one of the media members present for the event by the announcer.[39]

October 3–9, 2011, South Carolina - Orangeburg County Fair Straw Poll

Source of results:[40]

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October 7–9, 2011, Washington, D.C.Values Voter Straw Poll

Source of results:[41]

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October 8, 2011, Saint Paul, Minnesota - Republican Midwest Leadership Conference Straw Poll

Source of results:[42]

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October 13, 2011, Los Angeles County, California - RPLAC Straw Poll

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October 15, 2011, Columbia, South Carolina - Tea Party Straw Poll

Source of results:[43]

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Note: the percentages only add to 83.5% because results for 3 contenders (likely Ron Paul, Rick Santorum and Gary Johnson) are unknown, but they polled somewhere in between Romney and Bachmann.

October 15, 2011, Bismarck, North Dakota - Tea Party Straw Poll

Source of results:[44]

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October 18, 2011, Charleston, South Carolina - Charleston County Republican Party

Source of results:[45][failed verification]

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October 18, 2011, Mississippi College Straw poll

Source of results:[46]

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October 21, 2011, Las Vegas, Nevada - Nevada GOP Straw Poll

Source of results:[47][48]

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October 22, 2011, Columbus, Ohio - Ohio GOP Swing State Straw Poll

Source of results:[49]

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October 25, 2011, Anderson County, Tennessee - East Tennessee GOP straw poll

Source of results:[50]

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October 29, 2011, Des Moines, Iowa - National Federation of Republican Assemblies Presidential Straw Poll

Source of results:[51]

Tally 1 (Iowa voters only):

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Tally 2 (non-Iowa voters)

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October 29, 2011, Tuscaloosa, Alabama - West Alabama Straw Poll

Source of results:[52]

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November 5, 2011, Illinois - Illinois Straw Poll

Source of results:[53]

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November 5, 2011, Sioux Falls, South Dakota - South Dakota Straw Poll

Source of results:[54]
According to KSFY/ABC "dozens" of people participated in this straw poll. No definitive number was given.[55]

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November 14, 2011, North Charleston, South Carolina - Charleston County Republican Party Straw Poll

Source of results:[56]

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November 14, 2011, San Diego, California - San Diego GOP Straw poll

Source of results:[57]

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November 19, 2011, Springfield, Missouri - Missouri Tea Party Straw poll

Source of results:[58]

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November 19, 2011, North Carolina - North Carolina Republican straw poll

Source of results:[59]

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November 19, 2011, Rockford, Illinois - Winnebago County GOP straw poll

Source of results:[60]

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December 1, 2011, Dubuque, Iowa - Dubuque Tea Party straw poll

Source of results:[61]

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Note: This was an unusual straw poll in which voter's preferences were matched against each other for five rounds, with the less popular candidate being removed at each stage. There were initially 6 available choices, which were whittled down to two, with the final result being as shown above.

December 5, 2011, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma - Oklahoma GOP straw poll

Source of results:[62]

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December 8, 2011, Chattanooga, Tennessee - Hamilton County Young Republican straw poll

Source of results:[63]

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Results from the 2011 Drake University Straw Poll were as follows:[64][65]

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The poll was distributed to Drake students via email to coincide with the December 10 Republican presidential debate, held on campus.

December 13, 2011, Pasco County, Florida – Pasco County GOP straw poll

Results:[66]

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December 13, 2011, Cedar Valley, Iowa – Cedar Falls Tea Party Straw Poll

Results:[67]

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Straw polls taken after voting started

January 2–4, 2012, Online - Idaho Straw Poll

Results:[68]

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January 6, 2012, Boise, Idaho – Idaho Republican Party Presidential Straw Poll

Results:[69]

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Note: Rick Perry's campaign asked not to be included on Straw Poll Ballot.

January 14, 2012: Saddle Up Texas straw poll

Results:[70]

Paper ballots:

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Text message voting:

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January 20, 2012: Connecticut GOP straw poll

Results:[71]

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January 28, 2012, Arizona Republican Party Presidential Straw Poll

Results:[72]

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February 2–4, 2012, Online – Idaho Straw Poll II

Results:[73]

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February 10–12, 2012, Washington, D.C. – CPAC Straw Poll

Results:[74][75][76]

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February 18, 2012, Coweta County Republican Presidential Straw Poll

Results:[77]

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March 1–3, 2012, Online - Idaho Straw Poll III

Results:[78]

Candidate Totals

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Zip Code Totals

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City Totals

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See also


References

  1. "2012 Republican Delegates". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved April 29, 2012.
  2. "Republican Convention". The Green Papers. Retrieved May 8, 2012.
  3. "Results: WMUR, ABC News, NH GOP 2012 Straw Poll". Politicalscoop.wmur.com. 2011-01-22. Archived from the original on 2012-08-25. Retrieved 2011-03-28.
  4. "PAC 2011 Straw Poll" (PDF). Retrieved 2011-09-25.
  5. Connelly, Joel (May 9, 2011). "Herman Cain wins GOP straw poll in Washington state". Seattle Post-Intelligencer.
  6. Republican Leadership Conference Blog (June 18, 2011). "RLC 2011 Straw Poll Results". Retrieved 2011-09-25.
  7. "Iowa Straw Poll: Complete Results - Hotline on Call". Archived from the original on 2011-11-04. Retrieved 2011-09-19.
  8. Parker, Ashley (2011-08-13). "Promising Better Direction, Perry Enters Race". The New York Times. Retrieved 2011-08-14.
  9. Stucker, Kyle (20 August 2011). "N.H. Primary Elections: Ron Paul Wins NH Straw Poll". Hampton - Northhampton Patch.
  10. Burns, Alexander (2011-08-27). "Georgia GOP votes for native son Herman Cain". Politico.
  11. "MDGOP Announces State Fair Presidential Straw Poll Results". Republican Party of Maryland. 2011-09-09. Retrieved 2011-11-06.
  12. Kevin Derby's blog (2011-03-08). "GOP 2012 Candidates Will Take Part in Florida Straw Poll". Sunshine State News. Retrieved 2011-03-28.
  13. Siegel, Elyse (September 24, 2011). "Herman Cain Wins Florida Straw Poll Ahead Of 2012". Huffington Post.
  14. Bohn, Kevin (25 September 2011). "Romney captures Michigan straw poll". CNN.
  15. "Cain Wins GOP Women Straw Poll". My Fox New York. 2 October 2011. Archived from the original on 3 October 2011.
  16. The Palladian View. "Straw Poll" (PDF). National Federation of Republican Women. Archived from the original (PDF) on 19 June 2013.
  17. Sarata, Phil (13 October 2011), "Cain wins GOP straw poll at Orangeburg fair", The T&D
  18. Hill, Jarrod (7 November 2011), "YAL at Mississippi College Conducts Straw Poll", Young Americans for Liberty, archived from the original on 4 March 2016
  19. McLaughlin, Seth (21 October 2011), "Cain tops field again in Nevada GOP straw poll", Washington Times
  20. Lederman, Josh (21 October 2011), "Herman Cain wins straw poll in Nevada", The Hill
  21. Evans, Lauren (22 October 2011), "Ohio GOP Straw Poll Gives Ron Paul A Majority", NBC 4i, archived from the original on 24 June 2012
  22. Moseley, Alex (25 October 2011). "Herman Cain Wins Republican Presidential Straw Poll with 59%". Anderson County Republican Party. Archived from the original on 10 August 2012.
  23. Pearson, Rick (5 November 2011). "Illinois GOP fundraising straw poll goes to Ron Paul". Chicago Tribune.
  24. "Netfirms, Free Web Hosting, Domain Names for Small Business". www.thecarolinapatriot.com. Archived from the original on 2011-02-02.
  25. "Drake University Straw Poll Results; Oskaloosa News". oskynews.org. 11 December 2011. Retrieved 2011-12-11.
  26. "Presidential Race Graph". www.idahostrawpoll.com. Archived from the original on 2012-03-06.
  27. "Results: January 28, 2012 | Arizona Republican Party". strawpoll.azgop.org. Archived from the original on 2012-01-31.
  28. "Presidential Race Graph". www.idahostrawpoll.com. Archived from the original on 2012-03-06.
  29. "CPAC 2012 » Romney Wins CPAC Straw Poll". cpac2012.conservative.org. Archived from the original on 2012-02-13.
  30. "Presidential Race Graph". www.idahostrawpoll.com. Archived from the original on 2012-03-06.

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