Kullback's_inequality

Kullback's inequality

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In information theory and statistics, Kullback's inequality is a lower bound on the Kullback–Leibler divergence expressed in terms of the large deviations rate function.^[1] If P and Q are probability distributions on the real line, such that P is absolutely continuous with respect to Q, i.e. P << Q, and whose first moments exist, then

D_{KL}(P\parallel Q)\geq \Psi _{Q}^{*}(\mu '_{1}(P)),

where $\Psi _{Q}^{*}$ is the rate function, i.e. the convex conjugate of the cumulant-generating function, of $Q$ , and $\mu '_{1}(P)$ is the first moment of $P.$

The Cramér–Rao bound is a corollary of this result.

Proof

Let P and Q be probability distributions (measures) on the real line, whose first moments exist, and such that P << Q. Consider the natural exponential family of Q given by

Q_{\theta }(A)={\frac {\int _{A}e^{\theta x}Q(dx)}{\int _{-\infty }^{\infty }e^{\theta x}Q(dx)}}={\frac {1}{M_{Q}(\theta )}}\int _{A}e^{\theta x}Q(dx)

for every measurable set A, where $M_{Q}$ is the moment-generating function of Q. (Note that Q₀ = Q.) Then

D_{KL}(P\parallel Q)=D_{KL}(P\parallel Q_{\theta })+\int _{\operatorname {supp} P}\left(\log {\frac {\mathrm {d} Q_{\theta }}{\mathrm {d} Q}}\right)\mathrm {d} P.

By Gibbs' inequality we have $D_{KL}(P\parallel Q_{\theta })\geq 0$ so that

D_{KL}(P\parallel Q)\geq \int _{\operatorname {supp} P}\left(\log {\frac {\mathrm {d} Q_{\theta }}{\mathrm {d} Q}}\right)\mathrm {d} P=\int _{\operatorname {supp} P}\left(\log {\frac {e^{\theta x}}{M_{Q}(\theta )}}\right)P(dx)

Simplifying the right side, we have, for every real θ where ${\displaystyle M_{Q}(\theta )<\infty$

D_{KL}(P\parallel Q)\geq \mu '_{1}(P)\theta -\Psi _{Q}(\theta ),

where $\mu '_{1}(P)$ is the first moment, or mean, of P, and $\Psi _{Q}=\log M_{Q}$ is called the cumulant-generating function. Taking the supremum completes the process of convex conjugation and yields the rate function:

D_{KL}(P\parallel Q)\geq \sup _{\theta }\left\{\mu '_{1}(P)\theta -\Psi _{Q}(\theta )\right\}=\Psi _{Q}^{*}(\mu '_{1}(P)).

Corollary: the Cramér–Rao bound

Start with Kullback's inequality

Let X_θ be a family of probability distributions on the real line indexed by the real parameter θ, and satisfying certain regularity conditions. Then

\lim _{h\to 0}{\frac {D_{KL}(X_{\theta +h}\parallel X_{\theta })}{h^{2}}}\geq \lim _{h\to 0}{\frac {\Psi _{\theta }^{*}(\mu _{\theta +h})}{h^{2}}},

where $\Psi _{\theta }^{*}$ is the convex conjugate of the cumulant-generating function of $X_{\theta }$ and $\mu _{\theta +h}$ is the first moment of $X_{\theta +h}.$

Left side

The left side of this inequality can be simplified as follows:

{\begin{aligned}\lim _{h\to 0}{\frac {D_{KL}(X_{\theta +h}\parallel X_{\theta })}{h^{2}}}&=\lim _{h\to 0}{\frac {1}{h^{2}}}\int _{-\infty }^{\infty }\log \left({\frac {\mathrm {d} X_{\theta +h}}{\mathrm {d} X_{\theta }}}\right)\mathrm {d} X_{\theta +h}\\&=-\lim _{h\to 0}{\frac {1}{h^{2}}}\int _{-\infty }^{\infty }\log \left({\frac {\mathrm {d} X_{\theta }}{\mathrm {d} X_{\theta +h}}}\right)\mathrm {d} X_{\theta +h}\\&=-\lim _{h\to 0}{\frac {1}{h^{2}}}\int _{-\infty }^{\infty }\log \left(1-\left(1-{\frac {\mathrm {d} X_{\theta }}{\mathrm {d} X_{\theta +h}}}\right)\right)\mathrm {d} X_{\theta +h}\\&=\lim _{h\to 0}{\frac {1}{h^{2}}}\int _{-\infty }^{\infty }\left[\left(1-{\frac {\mathrm {d} X_{\theta }}{\mathrm {d} X_{\theta +h}}}\right)+{\frac {1}{2}}\left(1-{\frac {\mathrm {d} X_{\theta }}{\mathrm {d} X_{\theta +h}}}\right)^{2}+o\left(\left(1-{\frac {\mathrm {d} X_{\theta }}{\mathrm {d} X_{\theta +h}}}\right)^{2}\right)\right]\mathrm {d} X_{\theta +h}&&{\text{Taylor series for }}\log(1-t)\\&=\lim _{h\to 0}{\frac {1}{h^{2}}}\int _{-\infty }^{\infty }\left[{\frac {1}{2}}\left(1-{\frac {\mathrm {d} X_{\theta }}{\mathrm {d} X_{\theta +h}}}\right)^{2}\right]\mathrm {d} X_{\theta +h}\\&=\lim _{h\to 0}{\frac {1}{h^{2}}}\int _{-\infty }^{\infty }\left[{\frac {1}{2}}\left({\frac {\mathrm {d} X_{\theta +h}-\mathrm {d} X_{\theta }}{\mathrm {d} X_{\theta +h}}}\right)^{2}\right]\mathrm {d} X_{\theta +h}\\&={\frac {1}{2}}{\mathcal {I}}_{X}(\theta )\end{aligned}}

which is half the Fisher information of the parameter θ.

Right side

The right side of the inequality can be developed as follows:

\lim _{h\to 0}{\frac {\Psi _{\theta }^{*}(\mu _{\theta +h})}{h^{2}}}=\lim _{h\to 0}{\frac {1}{h^{2}}}{\sup _{t}\{\mu _{\theta +h}t-\Psi _{\theta }(t)\}}.

This supremum is attained at a value of t=τ where the first derivative of the cumulant-generating function is $\Psi '_{\theta }(\tau )=\mu _{\theta +h},$ but we have $\Psi '_{\theta }(0)=\mu _{\theta },$ so that

\Psi ''_{\theta }(0)={\frac {d\mu _{\theta }}{d\theta }}\lim _{h\to 0}{\frac {h}{\tau }}.

Moreover,

\lim _{h\to 0}{\frac {\Psi _{\theta }^{*}(\mu _{\theta +h})}{h^{2}}}={\frac {1}{2\Psi ''_{\theta }(0)}}\left({\frac {d\mu _{\theta }}{d\theta }}\right)^{2}={\frac {1}{2\operatorname {Var} (X_{\theta })}}\left({\frac {d\mu _{\theta }}{d\theta }}\right)^{2}.

Putting both sides back together

We have:

{\frac {1}{2}}{\mathcal {I}}_{X}(\theta )\geq {\frac {1}{2\operatorname {Var} (X_{\theta })}}\left({\frac {d\mu _{\theta }}{d\theta }}\right)^{2},

which can be rearranged as:

\operatorname {Var} (X_{\theta })\geq {\frac {(d\mu _{\theta }/d\theta )^{2}}{{\mathcal {I}}_{X}(\theta )}}.

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[1] [1]
Fuchs, Aimé; Letta, Giorgio (1970). "L'inégalité de Kullback. Application à la théorie de l'estimation". Séminaire de Probabilités de Strasbourg. Séminaire de probabilités. 4. Strasbourg: 108–131.

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