John_Tavaglione

2012 California's 2nd congressional district election
← 2010 2014 →
	Results by county; Huffman: 60–70% 70–80%; Roberts: 50–60%
U.S. Representative before election; Lynn Woolsey; Democratic	Elected U.S. Representative ; Jared Huffman; Democratic

2012 California's 1st congressional district election
← 2010 2014 →
	Results by county; LaMalfa: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%
U.S. Representative before election; Wally Herger; Republican	Elected U.S. Representative ; Doug LaMalfa; Republican

2012 United States House of Representatives elections in California
All 53 California seats to the United States House of Representatives
	Democratic 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100% ; Republican 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 90–100% ; Winners Democratic hold Democratic gain Republican hold Republican Gain
	Democratic 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100% ; Republican 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 90–100% ; Winners Democratic hold Democratic gain Republican hold Republican Gain

2012 United States House of Representatives elections in California

2012 House elections in California

The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in California were held on November 6, 2012, with a primary election on June 5, 2012. Voters elected the 53 U.S. representatives from the state, one from each of the state's 53 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election and a U.S. Senate election.

Quick Facts All 53 California seats to the United States House of Representatives, Majority party ...

According to The Cook Political Report and Roll Call, the most competitive districts were the 7th, 10th, 26th, 36th, and 52nd; additionally, the 3rd, 9th, 24th, 41st, and 47th were rated as less than safe.^[1]^[2] Roll Call additionally listed the 21st district as competitive. Voters in 14 districts elected new representatives: the 1st, 2nd, 7th, 8th, 15th, 21st, 26th, 29th, 35th, 36th, 41st, 47th, 51st, and 52nd. Two districts, the 30th and the 44th, had two incumbents running against each other.

This was the first election using congressional districts drawn by the California Citizens Redistricting Commission. The districts, based on the 2010 United States census, were approved on August 15, 2011.^[3] It was also the first non-special election to use the nonpartisan blanket primary system established by Proposition 14. As a result, eight districts featured general elections with two candidates of the same party: the 15th, 30th, 35th, 40th, 43rd, and 44th with two Democrats; and the 8th and 31st with two Republicans.

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[Key-137] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

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United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2012 Primary election — June 5, 2012
Party		Votes	Percentage	Candidates	Advancing to general	Seats contesting
	Democratic	2,643,313	53.41%	107	56	50
	Republican	2,072,433	41.87%	98	46	44
	No party preference	189,783	3.83%	25	4	4
	Green	26,674	0.54%	6	0	0
	Libertarian	14,787	0.30%	4	0	0
	Peace and Freedom	2,415	0.05%	2	0	0
Valid votes		4,949,405	92.89%	—	—	—
Invalid votes		378,891	7.11%	—	—	—
Totals		5,328,296	100.00%	242	106	—
Voter turnout		31.06%

United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2012 General election — November 6, 2012
Party		Votes	Percentage	Seats	+/–
	Democratic	7,392,703	60.57%	38	4
	Republican	4,530,012	37.12%	15	4
	No party preference	281,642	2.31%	0
Valid votes		12,204,357	92.44%	—	—
Invalid or blank votes		997,801	7.56%	—	—
Totals		13,202,158	100.00%	53	—
Voter turnout		72.36%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Doug LaMalfa	66,527	37.9
	Democratic	Jim Reed	43,409	24.8
	Republican	Sam Aanestad	25,224	14.4
	Republican	Michael Dacquisto	10,530	6.0
	Republican	Pete Stiglich	10,258	5.8
	Democratic	Nathan Arrowsmith	8,598	4.9
	No party preference	Gary Allen Oxley	5,901	3.4
	Republican	Gregory Cheadle	4,939	2.8
Total votes			175,386	100.0

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Doug LaMalfa	168,827	57.4
	Democratic	Jim Reed	125,386	42.6
Majority			43,441	14.8
Total votes			294,213	100.0
	Republican hold

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Susan Adams (D)	Andy Caffrey (D)	William Courtney (D)	Mike Halliwell (R)	Jared Huffman (D)	Stacey Lawson (D)	Tiffany Renée (D)	Daniel Roberts (R)	Norman Solomon (D)	Undecided
Lake Research Partners (D-Solomon)	April 17–19, 2012	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	8%	—	—	3%	18%	5%	—	3%	10%	47%
Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (D-Huffman)	March 23–29, 2012	500 (LV)	± 4.9%	5%	—	—	5%	24%	9%	—	7%	5%	45%
Lake Research Partners (D-Solomon)	October 18–20, 2011	400 (LV)	± 5.0%	4%	2%	3%	—	16%	4%	1%	12%	11%	46%
Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (D-Huffman)	October 5–9, 2011	400 (LV)	± 5.0%	5%	4%	—	—	20%	5%	3%	18%	7%	37%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jared Huffman	63,922	37.5
	Republican	Daniel Roberts	25,635	15.0
	Democratic	Norman Solomon	25,462	14.9
	Democratic	Stacey Lawson	16,946	9.9
	Democratic	Susan Adams	14,041	8.2
	Republican	Mike Halliwell	10,008	5.9
	No party preference	Brooke Clarke	3,715	2.2
	Democratic	Tiffany Renée	3,033	1.8
	No party preference	John Lewallen	2,488	1.5
	Democratic	William L. Courtney	2,385	1.4
	Democratic	Andy Caffrey	1,737	1.0
	Democratic	Larry Fritzlan	1,151	0.7
Total votes			170,523	100.0

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jared Huffman	226,216	71.2
	Republican	Daniel Roberts	91,310	28.8
Total votes			317,526	100.0
	Democratic hold

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	John Garamendi (incumbent)	59,546	51.5
	Republican	Kim Vann	30,254	26.2
	Republican	Rick Tubbs	17,902	15.5
	Republican	Tony Carlos	5,541	4.8
	Republican	Eugene Ray	2,438	2.1
Total votes			115,681	100.0

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Garamendi (D)	Kim Vann (R)	Undecided
GBA Strategies (D-House Majority PAC)	August 26–27, 2012	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	54%	39%	7%
DCCC (D)	July 25, 2012	303 (LV)	± 5.6%	52%	37%	11%

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[43]	Likely D	November 5, 2012
Rothenberg^[44]	Safe D	November 2, 2012
Roll Call^[45]	Likely D	November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[46]	Safe D	November 5, 2012
NY Times^[47]	Lean D	November 4, 2012
RCP^[48]	Likely D	November 4, 2012
The Hill^[49]	Lean D	November 4, 2012

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	John Garamendi (incumbent)	126,882	54.2
	Republican	Kim Vann	107,086	45.8
Majority			19,796	8.4
Total votes			233,968	100.0
	Democratic hold

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Tom McClintock (incumbent)	114,311	64.8
	Democratic	Jack Uppal	62,130	35.2
Total votes			176,441	100.0

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Tom McClintock (incumbent)	197,803	61.1
	Democratic	Jack Uppal	125,885	38.9
Total votes			323,688	100.0
	Republican hold

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Mike Thompson (incumbent)	95,748	72.2
	Republican	Randy Loftin	22,137	16.7
	Republican	Stewart Cilley	14,734	11.1
Total votes			132,619	100.0

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Mike Thompson (incumbent)	202,872	74.5
	Republican	Randy Loftin	69,545	25.5
Total votes			272,417	100.0
	Democratic hold

Nonpartisan blanket primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Doris Matsui (incumbent)	67,174	71.4
	Republican	Joseph McCray, Sr.	15,647	16.6
	Republican	Erik Smitt	11,254	12.0
Total votes			94,075	100.0

Nonpartisan blanket primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Dan Lungren (incumbent)	63,586	52.7
	Democratic	Ami Bera	49,433	41.0
	No party preference	Curt Taras	3,854	3.2
	Libertarian	Douglas Arthur Tuma	3,707	3.1
Total votes			120,580	100.0

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Doris Matsui (incumbent)	160,667	75.1
	Republican	Joseph McCray, Sr.	53,406	24.9
Total votes			214,073	100.0
	Democratic hold

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Dan Lungren (R)	Ami Bera (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D-CREDO)	October 25–26, 2012	792 (LV)	± ?%	46%	46%	8%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-House Majority PAC/SEIU)	August 21–23, 2012	401 (LV)	± 5.0%	47%	47%	6%

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Tossup	November 5, 2012
Rothenberg^[44]	Tilts D (flip)	November 2, 2012
Roll Call^[45]	Tossup	November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[46]	Lean D (flip)	November 5, 2012
NY Times^[47]	Lean D (flip)	November 4, 2012
RCP^[48]	Tossup	November 4, 2012
The Hill^[49]	Lean D (flip)	November 4, 2012

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Ami Bera	141,241	51.7
	Republican	Dan Lungren (incumbent)	132,050	48.3
Majority			9,191	3.4
Total votes			273,291	100.0
	Democratic gain from Republican

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Gregg Imus	12,754	15.6
	Republican	Paul Cook	12,517	15.3
	Republican	Phil Liberatore	12,277	15.0
	Democratic	Jackie Conaway	11,674	14.3
	Republican	Brad Mitzelfelt	8,801	10.8
	Democratic	John Pinkerton	7,941	9.7
	Republican	Angela Valles	4,924	6.0
	Republican	Ryan McEachron	3,181	3.9
	No party preference	Anthony Adams	2,750	3.4
	Republican	Bill Jensen	1,850	2.3
	Republican	George T. Craig	1,376	1.7
	Republican	Joseph D. Napolitano	1,050	1.3
	Republican	Dennis L. Albertsen	761	0.9
Total votes			81,856	100.0

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Paul Cook	103,093	57.4
	Republican	Gregg Imus	76,551	42.6
Total votes			179,644	100.0
	Republican hold

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jerry McNerney (incumbent)	45,696	47.8
	Republican	Ricky Gill	38,488	40.2
	Republican	John McDonald	11,458	12.0
Total votes			95,642	100.0

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jerry McNerney (D)	Ricky Gill (R)	Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D-DCCC)	October 8–10, 2012	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	47%	38%	15%
Tarrance (R-Gill)	September 30–October 2, 2012	409 (LV)	± 4.9%	45%	46%	9%
Tarrance (R-Gill)	July 24–26, 2012	402 (LV)	± 5.7%	47%	45%	9%
Lake Research Partners (D-McNerney)	July 8–11, 2012	504 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	33%	18%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jerry McNerney (incumbent)	118,373	55.6
	Republican	Ricky Gill	94,704	44.4
Majority			23,669	11.2
Total votes			213,077	100.0
	Democratic hold

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jeff Denham (incumbent)	45,779	49.2
	Democratic	José Hernández	26,072	28.0
	No party preference	Chad M. Condit	13,983	15.0
	Democratic	Michael J. "Mike" Barkley	5,028	5.4
	No party preference	Troy Wayne McComack	2,114	2.3
Total votes			92,976	100.0

John_Tavaglione

Overview

Statewide

District 1

Primary election

Republican candidates

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Democratic candidates

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Campaign

Endorsements

Results

General election

Endorsements

Results

District 2

Primary election

Democratic candidates

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Republican candidates

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Independent candidates

Eliminated in primary

Green Party candidates

Declined

Campaign

Endorsements

Polling

Results

General election

Endorsements

Results

District 3

Primary election

Democratic candidates

Advanced to general

Republican candidates

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Campaign

Endorsements

Results

General election

Endorsements

Polling

Predictions

Results

District 4

Primary election

Republican candidates

Advanced to general

Declined

Democratic candidates

Advanced to general

Campaign

Endorsements

Results

General election

Endorsements

Results

District 5

Primary election

Democratic candidates

Advanced to general

Republican candidates

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Campaign

Endorsements

Results

General election

Endorsements

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jeff Denham (R)	José Hernández (D)	Undecided
Momentum Analysis (D-Hernandez)	September 29– October 1, 2012	500 (LV)	± 4.5%	45%	43%	12%
DCCC (D)	September 10, 2012	382 (LV)	± 5.0%	44%	46%	11%
Public Policy Polling (D-Democracy for America)	August 7–9, 2012	751 (LV)	± ?%	48%	41%	12%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jeff Denham (incumbent)	110,265	52.7
	Democratic	José Hernández	98,934	47.3
Majority			11,331	5.4
Total votes			209,199	100.0
	Republican hold

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	George Miller (incumbent)	76,163	58.5
	Republican	Virginia Fuller	40,333	31.0
	Democratic	John Fitzgerald	9,092	7.0
	Democratic	Cheryl Sudduth	4,635	3.6
Total votes			130,223	100.0

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	George Miller (incumbent)	200,743	69.7
	Republican	Virginia Fuller	87,136	30.3
Total votes			287,879	100.0
	Democratic hold

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Nancy Pelosi (incumbent)	89,446	74.9
	Republican	John Dennis	16,206	13.6
	Green	Barry Hermanson	6,398	5.4
	Democratic	David Peterson	3,756	3.1
	Democratic	Summer Justice Shields	2,146	1.9
	Democratic	Américo Arturo Díaz	1,499	1.3
Total votes			119,451	100.0

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Nancy Pelosi (incumbent)	253,709	85.1
	Republican	John Dennis	44,478	14.9
Total votes			298,187	100.0
	Democratic hold

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Barbara Lee (incumbent)	94,709	83.1
	No party preference	Marilyn M. Singleton	13,502	11.8
	Democratic	Justin Jelincic	5,741	5.0
Total votes			113,952	100.0

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Barbara Lee (incumbent)	250,436	86.8
	No party preference	Marilyn M. Singleton	38,146	13.2
Total votes			288,582	100.0
	Democratic hold

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jackie Speier (incumbent)	80,850	74.3
	Republican	Deborah Bacigalupi	23,299	21.4
	Democratic	Michael J. Moloney	4,607	4.2
Total votes			108,756	100.0

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jackie Speier (incumbent)	203,828	78.9
	Republican	Deborah Bacigalupi	54,455	21.1
Total votes			258,283	100.0
	Democratic hold