Icelandic_parliamentary_election,_2016

2016 Icelandic parliamentary election

2016 Icelandic parliamentary election

General election to the Icelandic parliament


Parliamentary elections were held in Iceland on 29 October 2016. They were due to be held on or before 27 April 2017, but following the 2016 Icelandic anti-government protests, the ruling coalition announced that early elections would be held "in autumn".[1][2]

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The Independence Party emerged as the largest in the Althing, winning 21 of the 63 seats; the Progressive Party, which had won the most seats in 2013, lost more than half its seats as it was overtaken by the Left-Green Movement and the Pirate Party. Of the 63 elected MPs, 30 were female, giving Iceland the highest proportion of female MPs in Europe.[3]

A new coalition was formed on 10 January 2017, consisting of the Independence Party, the Reform Party and Bright Future, with Bjarni Benediktsson becoming Prime Minister on 11 January 2017.[4]

Background

In early April 2016, following revelations in the Panama Papers, leaks from law firm Mossack Fonseca about the financial dealings of then Prime Minister Sigmundur Davíð Gunnlaugsson (Progressive Party) and his wife, there were calls for an early election from the opposition,[5] who planned to present him with a motion of no confidence. Mass protests calling on the Prime Minister to quit followed. Although Sigmundur Davíð had stated he had no intention of resigning, he apparently resigned on 5 April. However, it was later stated by the Prime Minister's office that he had only taken a temporary leave of absence from his duties.[5][6][7][8][9] The Progressive Party's deputy leader, Sigurður Ingi Jóhannsson, became acting Prime Minister the same day.[9]

The President, Olafur Ragnar Grimsson, then said he would speak to both coalition parties, Progressive Party and Independence Party, before considering whether to call new elections.[10] Opposition parties continued to press for new elections.[8] On 6 April, Sigurður announced, "We expect to have elections this autumn."[11] On 11 August, Bjarni Benediktsson met with opposition parties and later announced that elections would be held on 29 October 2016.[2]

Electoral system

The 63 members of the Althing were elected using open list proportional representation in multi-member constituencies of 10 to 11 seats.[12] Of the 63 seats, 54 were elected using constituency results and determined using the d'Hondt method. The remaining nine supplementary seats were awarded to parties that crossed the 5% national electoral threshold in order to give them a total number of seats equivalent to their national share of the vote.[12]

Participating parties

The final deadline for parties to apply for participation in the parliamentary election was 14 October 2016.

Parties with a list for all constituencies
Parties with a list for only some constituencies

Campaign

Sigurður Ingi replaced Sigmundur Davíð as the party chairman of the Progressive Party on 2 October 2016.[13]

The Pirate Party announced on 16 October 2016 that they would not participate in post-election negotiations to form a coalition government with either the Progressive Party or the Independence Party.[14] The party did send letters to Reform, Bright Future, Social Democratic Alliance and Left-Green Movement about the possibility of forming an alliance prior to the election.[14]

Opinion polls

Graphical summary of the opinion polls in Iceland since the previous parliamentary election. Each dot corresponds to one poll's number for party. A smoothing spline is used to show the trends. The scatter of points around the spline curves gives an indication of the uncertainty of the polls. The thin circles at the very right show the results of the election, which for P and D deviate significantly from the polls.
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Results

Voter turnout was the lowest turnout in Iceland's history.[15]

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Government formation

Neither of the two main blocs — the outgoing coalition of the Independence Party and the Progressives, or the centre-left opposition (Left-Greens, Pirates, Bright Future and Social Democrats) — secured an overall majority, leaving the new centrist party Reform as possible kingmakers.[16]

The leader of the Independence Party, Bjarni Benediktsson, expressed preference for a three-party coalition, although without saying which three parties. The Pirate Party proposed a five-party coalition with the Left-Green Movement, the Social Democrats, Bright Future and Reform, having previously ruled out working with either of the two outgoing coalition members.[3] The Pirate Party then suggested a minority coalition of Left-Green Movement, Bright Future and Reform, with outside support from themselves and the Social Democrats, in order to simplify the process of government formation.[17]

The leader of Reform ruled out a right-leaning three-party coalition with the Independence Party and the Progressives,[18] and did not rule out supporting the centre-left bloc.[19]

On 2 November, President Guðni Th. Jóhannesson gave the mandate to Bjarni to form a majority government.[20] On 11 November, the Independence Party, Reform and Bright Future entered into formal coalition talks,[21] but the three parties failed to agree with a new market-based fishing quota system and an EU referendum as the main stumbling blocks.

On 17 November, the mandate to form a majority government was in turn given to the leader of the Left-Greens, Katrín Jakobsdóttir.[22] She instigated talks with Reform, Bright Future, the Pirates, and Social Democrats, and on 19 November the five parties agreed to start formal coalition talks. On 24 November, the coalition talks fell through and Katrín formally renounced the Presidential mandate to form a government.[23]

On 2 December, the mandate to form a majority government was given to the leader of the Pirate Party, Birgitta Jónsdóttir.[24] The Pirates were unable to form a government and the President chose not to give a new mandate to form a government, but asked the party leaders to discuss the matter informally.[25]

On 2 January 2017, the Independence Party started official talks about a possible coalition deal with the Reform Party and Bright Future. Morgunblaðið also reported that the Left-Green Movement and the Progressive Party had also discussed possible coalition deals with the Independence Party.[26] A new coalition was formed on 10 January 2017 between Independence Party, Reform Party and the Bright Future with Bjarni Benediktsson becoming Prime Minister on 11 January 2017.[4][27]

Footnotes

  1. The Pirate Party rejects the regular leadership model. Their formal chairperson of the parliamentary group in 2016 was Birgitta Jónsdóttir.

References

  1. "Boða til kosninga 29. október". MBL (in Icelandic). 11 August 2016. Archived from the original on 14 August 2016. Retrieved 11 August 2016.
  2. Arnarsdóttir, Eygló Svala (9 January 2017). "New Government Announced Tomorrow". Iceland Review. Archived from the original on 10 January 2017. Retrieved 10 January 2017.
  3. "PM Sigmundur Davíð Gunnlaugsson Wavers On Resignation". The Reykjavik Grapevine. 5 April 2016. Archived from the original on 2016-04-06. Retrieved 2016-04-06.
  4. "Iceland PM calls to dissolve parliament after tax scandal". Reuters UK. Archived from the original on 2016-04-05. Retrieved 2016-04-05.
  5. Henley, Jon (5 April 2016). "Iceland PM steps aside after protests over Panama Papers revelations". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 18 November 2017. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  6. "Sigurður Ingi kjörinn formaður Framsóknar". RÚV. 2016-10-02. Archived from the original on 2016-10-20. Retrieved 2016-10-17.
  7. "Píratar útiloka stjórnarflokkana". Archived from the original on 2016-10-19. Retrieved 2016-10-17.
  8. "Kjörsókn aldrei verið minni". Vísir. 30 October 2016. Archived from the original on 2016-11-02. Retrieved 2016-12-03.
  9. Duxbury, Charles (2016-10-30). "Iceland Lawmakers Face Tricky Negotiations After Inconclusive Election". WSJ. Archived from the original on 2016-12-03. Retrieved 2016-12-03.
  10. "Pirates Suggest Minority Government". Iceland Review. 31 October 2016. Archived from the original on 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-12-03.
  11. grapevine.is (2016-10-31). "Elections 2016: What Will Iceland's Next Government Be?". The Reykjavik Grapevine. Archived from the original on 2016-12-01. Retrieved 2016-12-03.
  12. "Viðreisn útilokar ekki minnihlutastjórn með Bjartri framtíð og VG". Vísir. 31 October 2016. Archived from the original on 2016-11-03. Retrieved 2016-12-03.
  13. The Associated Press (2016-11-02). "Independence Party given mandate to form Iceland government". The Seattle Times. Archived from the original on 2016-11-04. Retrieved 2016-12-03.
  14. Fontaine, Paul (11 November 2016). "Formal Talks Begin For 3-Party Centre-Right Coalition". The Reykjavík Grapevine. Archived from the original on 12 November 2016. Retrieved 12 November 2016.
  15. "Party leader Jakobsdottir given chance to form Iceland coalition". Europe Online. 16 November 2016. Archived from the original on 20 November 2016. Retrieved 19 November 2016.
  16. "Second leader gives up on forming Iceland government". Archived from the original on 2016-11-26. Retrieved 2016-11-27.
  17. Agence France-Presse (2016-12-02). "Iceland's Pirate party invited to form government". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 2021-10-05. Retrieved 2016-12-03.
  18. "President gives no new mandate to form government". Archived from the original on 2016-12-14. Retrieved 2016-12-13.
  19. "Independence party-led government in the pipeline". Archived from the original on 5 January 2017. Retrieved 6 January 2017.
  20. Hafstađ, Vala (10 January 2017). "Government's Agenda Introduced". Iceland Review. Archived from the original on 13 January 2017. Retrieved 2 March 2017.

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