Florida's_13th_congressional_district_special_election,_2014
A special election for Florida's 13th congressional district was held March 11, 2014, to elect a member of the United States House of Representatives, following the death of incumbent Republican Congressman Bill Young on October 18, 2013.[1] Primary elections were held on January 14, 2014.[2] Young, who had already announced that he would not be running for re-election in 2014, was re-elected in 2012 with 57 percent of the vote.[3] With 100% of the precincts reporting, David Jolly was declared the winner.
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On October 9, 2013, Republican Bill Young, who had held this Tampa Bay-area district since 1971, announced that he would not run for re-election to a twenty-second term in 2014. He died nine days later and this special election was called to fill his seat. Though Young had been re-elected by wide margins, the district in recent years had become competitive. In the four most recent presidential elections, it was won by Al Gore over George W. Bush in 2000 51%-49%, by Bush with 51%-49% in 2004, by Barack Obama over John McCain 51%-47% and again carried by Obama in 2012 by a narrower 50%-49% over Mitt Romney. Given this, some political commentators and journalists viewed this election as a bellwether for the fall 2014 elections.[4][5] While discounting the idea of special elections as bellwethers, political scientists agreed the result was a data point that public sentiment favored Republicans.[6]
Candidates
Declared
- Mark Bircher, retired United States Marine Corps Brigadier General[7]
- David Jolly, attorney and former general counsel to Bill Young[8]
- Kathleen Peters, state representative[9]
Declined
- Larry Ahern, state representative[10]
- Joseph Ayoub, Mayor of Safety Harbor[11]
- Rick Baker, former mayor of St. Petersburg[12]
- Neil Brickfield, former Pinellas County Commissioner[13]
- George Cretekos, Mayor of Clearwater[14]
- Larry Crow, former state representative[14]
- Bob Gualtieri, Pinellas County sheriff[15]
- Frank Hibbard, former mayor of Clearwater[16]
- Michael Pinson, publisher[17]
- Karen Seel, Pinellas County Commissioner[18]
- Beverly Young, widow of Bill Young[8]
- Bill "Billy" Young II, son of Bill Young[19]
- Tom Young, brother of Bill Young[20]
- Nick Zoller, Republican consultant and strategist[21]
Endorsements
Mark Bircher
- Politicians
- Allen West, former U.S. Representative[22]
David Jolly
- Politicians
- Larry Ahern, state representative[10]
- Rick Baker, former Mayor of St. Petersburg[10]
- Nancy Bostock, Pinellas County School Board member and former Pinellas County Commissioner[10]
- Jeff Brandes, state senator[23]
- Douglas Burnett, former Florida Adjutant General[24]
- Dan Calabria, Mayor of South Pasadena[25]
- Pam Dubov, Pinellas County Property Appraiser[26]
- Jim Lawrence, Mayor of Indian Shores[24]
- Bill Mischler, former Mayor of Pinellas Park[10]
- Rich Nugent, U.S. Representative[27]
- Jerry Rehm, Mayor of Dunedin and former state senator[24]
- Leslie Waters, Mayor of Seminole[28]
- Others
- Bob Barker, former game show host, animal rights activist [29]
- Bill Edwards, businessman[24]
- Gordon R. England, former United States Secretary of the Navy[10]
- Jim Holton, businessman[24]
- Bill Hough, businessman[28]
- Jim MacDougald, businessman[24]
- Mel Sembler, former United States Ambassador to Italy[10]
- Beverly Young, widow of Bill Young[8]
- Organizations
- Clearwater Fraternal Order of Police[24]
- Florida Gulf Coast Chapter of Associated Builders and Contractors[30]
- Newspapers
Kathleen Peters
- Politicians
- Joe Ayoub, Mayor of Safety Harbor[7]
- Neil Brickfield, former Pinellas County Commissioner[7]
- Ken Burke, Clerk of Court[32]
- Rick Butler, Pinellas Park City Council member[32]
- Jim Coats, former Sheriff of Pinellas County[32]
- George Cretekos, Mayor of Clearwater[7]
- Max Elson, South Pasadena City Commissioner[32]
- Frank Farkas, former State representative[30]
- Bill Foster, former Mayor of St. Petersburg[33]
- Bob Gualtieri, Sheriff of Pinellas County[7]
- Hoyt Hamilton, former Clearwater City Council member[32]
- Doreen Hock-DiPolito, Clearwater City Council member[32]
- Ed Hooper, state representative[32]
- Patti Johnson, Pinellas Park City Council member[32]
- Bill Jonson, Clearwater City Council member[32]
- Jack Latvala, state senator[7]
- Bob Minning, Mayor of Treasure Island[32]
- Gail Neidinger, South Pasadena City Commissioner[32]
- Diane Nelson, Pinellas County Tax Collector[32]
- Peggy O'Shea, Pinellas County School Board member[32]
- Travis Palladeno, Mayor of Madeira Beach[32]
- Arthur Penny, South Pasadena City Commissioner[32]
- Jay Polglaze, Clearwater City Council member[32]
- Suzy Sofer, Bellaire Bluffs Commissioner[32]
- Ann Wagner, U.S. Representative from Missouri[34]
- Others
- Bill Young II, son of Bill Young[7]
- Organizations
- Maggie's List[35]
- Newspapers
Polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mark Bircher |
David Jolly |
Kathleen Peters |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls | January 9, 2014 | 653 | ± 3.8% | 26.3% | 36.5% | 23.9% | 13.3% |
| Gravis Marketing | January 8, 2014 | 976 | ± 3% | 25% | 34% | 28% | 14% |
| St. Pete Polls | December 30, 2013 | 488 | ± 4.4% | 17.7% | 39.4% | 27.7% | 15.1% |
| St. Pete Polls | December 18, 2013 | 660 | ± 3.8% | 16.1% | 34.9% | 30.2% | 18.9% |
| St. Pete Polls | December 3, 2013 | 534 | ± 4.2% | 17.2% | 27.8% | 27.1% | 28.0% |
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More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Baker |
Neil Brickfield |
Larry Crow |
Frank Hibbard |
David Jolly |
Kathleen Peters |
Karen Seel |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls | November 18, 2013 | 582 | ± 4.1% | — | — | — | — | 39.2% | 17.3% | — | 30.9% | 12.6% |
| St. Pete Polls | November 5, 2013 | 498 | ± 4.4% | — | 16.8% | — | 15% | 18.7% | — | — | 28.7% | 20.8% |
| St. Pete Polls | October 15, 2013 | 742 | ± 3.6% | 51% | 7% | 4% | — | 2% | — | 10% | 27% | — |
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Results
More information Party, Candidate ...
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | David Jolly | 20,493 | 45 | |
| Republican | Kathleen Peters | 14,234 | 31 | |
| Republican | Mark Bircher | 11,242 | 24 | |
| Total votes | 45,810 | 100 | ||
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Candidates
Nominee
- Alex Sink, former Chief Financial Officer of Florida and nominee for Governor of Florida in 2010[38]
Withdrew
- Jessica Ehrlich, attorney and nominee for the 13th congressional district in 2012[39]
Declined
- Charlie Justice, Pinellas County Commissioner and nominee for Florida's 10th congressional district in 2010[40]
- Janet C. Long, Pinellas County Commissioner[41]
Endorsements
Alex Sink
- Politicians
- Joseph Barkley, Belleair Bluffs city council member[42]
- Nancy Besore, Safety Harbor Commissioner[43]
- Kathy Castor, U.S. Representative[44]
- Dwight Dudley, state representative[42]
- Rene Flowers, Pinellas County School Board member[42]
- Amy Foster, St. Petersburg City Council member[43]
- Michael Fridovich, Gulfport City Council member[43]
- Patricia Gerard, Mayor of Largo[42]
- Samuel Henderson, Mayor of Gulfport[43]
- Lorraine Huhn, Vice Mayor of St. Pete Beach[43]
- Robert Jackson, former Mayor of Largo[42]
- Charlie Justice, Pinellas County Commissioner[42]
- Steve Kornell, St. Petersburg City Council member[42]
- Linda Lerner, Pinellas County School Board member[42]
- Janet C. Long, Pinellas County Commissioner[42]
- Jack Nazario, Belleair Bluffs Commissioner[43]
- Karl Nurse, St. Petersburg City Council member[42]
- Carlen Petersen, former Clearwater City Council member[43]
- Patricia Plantamura, Seminole City Council member[42]
- Jim Quinn, Seminole City Council member[43]
- Darryl Rouson, state representative[42]
- Mike Smith, Largo City Council member[42]
- Ken Welch, Pinellas County Commissioner[42]
- Carl Zimmermann, state representative[42]
- Organisations
Polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jessica Ehrlich |
Alex Sink |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls | November 5, 2013 | 367 | ± 5.1% | 10.6% | 69.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% |
| St. Pete Polls | October 15, 2013 | 706 | ± 3.7% | 20% | 63% | 10% | 7% |
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Hypothetical polling
Candidates
- David Jolly (Republican), attorney and former general counsel to Bill Young
- Michael S. Levinson (write-in)[46]
- Lucas Overby (Libertarian), commercial diver and activist[40]
- Alex Sink (Democratic), former Chief Financial Officer of Florida and nominee for Governor of Florida in 2010
One voter was confused by a website called "sinkforcongress2014" accepting donations to the National Republican Congressional Committee to defeat Sink and other Democrats, thinking it was a pro-Sink website. His $250 donation was refunded by the NRCC.[47]
Debates
David Jolly, Lucas Overby, and Alex Sink, the three candidates appearing on the ballot for the special election, took part in a televised debate on February 3, 2014. Held at the Seminole Campus of St. Petersburg College and co-hosted by the Tampa Bay Times and Bay News 9, the event aired live on C-SPAN 3. Al Ruechel, Adam Smith, and Amy Hollyfield served as moderators.[48] The debate can be viewed in its entirety here.
A non-scientific poll conducted after the debate by Bay News 9 indicated that overall viewers felt David Jolly had won with 37% of the vote, followed by Alex Sink with 33% and Lucas Overby with 30%.[49]
Campaign spending
During the campaign, OpenSecrets reported on February 13, 2014, that outside groups had spent $3.5 million on the election, with $2.6 million of that from groups that support Jolly. This makes it the most expensive election of the 2014 cycle so far and one of the most expensive special congressional elections in history.[50]
The Associated Press reports that $11 million total was spent as the Democratic Party poured money into the campaign in its final weeks. In the end, Sink outspent Jolly by 3 to 1 on television ads as well as outspending him overall.[51]
Endorsements
David Jolly
- Politicians
- Larry Ahern, state representative[10]
- Rick Baker, former Mayor of St. Petersburg[10]
- Mark Bircher, candidate for the 13th Congressional district[52]
- Pam Bondi, Attorney General of Florida[53]
- Nancy Bostock, Pinellas County School Board member and former Pinellas County Commissioner[10]
- Jeff Brandes, state senator[23]
- Neil Brickfield, former Pinellas County Commissioner[52]
- Douglas Burnett, former Florida Adjutant General[24]
- Jeb Bush, former Governor of Florida
- Dan Calabria, Mayor of South Pasadena[25]
- Pam Dubov, Pinellas County Property Appraiser[26]
- Jim Lawrence, Mayor of Indian Shores[24]
- John McCain, U.S. Senator from Arizona and 2008 Republican presidential nominee[54]
- Bill Mischler, former Mayor of Pinellas Park[10]
- Rich Nugent, U.S. Representative[27]
- Rand Paul, U.S. Senator from Kentucky[citation needed]
- Kathleen Peters, State Representative and candidate for the 13th Congressional district[55]
- Jerry Rehm, Mayor of Dunedin and former state senator[24]
- Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator from Florida[56]
- Rick Scott, Governor of Florida[53]
- Leslie Waters, Mayor of Seminole[28]
- Others
- Bob Barker, former game show host, animal rights activist [29]
- Bill Edwards, businessman[24]
- Gordon R. England, former United States Secretary of the Navy[10]
- Jim Holton, businessman[24]
- Bill Hough, businessman[28]
- Jim MacDougald, businessman[24]
- Mel Sembler, former United States Ambassador to Italy[10]
- Beverly Young, widow of Bill Young[8]
- Bill Young II, son of Bill Young[52]
- Organizations
- Clearwater Fraternal Order of Police[24]
- Florida Gulf Coast Chapter of Associated Builders and Contractors[30]
- Newspapers
Lucas Overby
- Politicians
- Gary Johnson, former Republican Governor of New Mexico and Libertarian nominee for president in 2012[58]
Alex Sink
- Politicians
- Joseph Barkley, Belleair Bluffs city council member[42]
- Nancy Besore, Safety Harbor Commissioner[43]
- Kathy Castor, U.S. Representative[44]
- Dwight Dudley, state representative[42]
- Rene Flowers, Pinellas County School Board member[42]
- Amy Foster, St. Petersburg City Council member[43]
- Michael Fridovich, Gulfport City Council member[43]
- Patricia Gerard, Mayor of Largo[42]
- Samuel Henderson, Mayor of Gulfport[43]
- Lorraine Huhn, Vice Mayor of St. Pete Beach[43]
- Robert Jackson, former Mayor of Largo[42]
- Charlie Justice, Pinellas County Commissioner[42]
- Steve Kornell, St. Petersburg City Council member[42]
- Susan Latvala, Republican Pinellas County Commissioner[59]
- Linda Lerner, Pinellas County School Board member[42]
- Janet C. Long, Pinellas County Commissioner[42]
- Jack Nazario, Belleair Bluffs Commissioner[43]
- Karl Nurse, St. Petersburg City Council member[42]
- Carlen Petersen, former Clearwater City Council member[43]
- Patricia Plantamura, Seminole City Council member[42]
- Jim Quinn, Seminole City Council member[43]
- Darden Rice, St. Petersburg City Council member[42]
- Darryl Rouson, state representative[42]
- Mike Smith, Largo City Council member[42]
- Ken Welch, Pinellas County Commissioner[42]
- Carl Zimmermann, state representative[42]
- Organisations
- Newspapers
Polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Jolly (R) |
Alex Sink (D) |
Lucas Overby (L) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 7–9, 2014 | 702 | ± 3.7% | 45% | 48% | 6% | 2% |
| RedRacingHorses & PMI inc. | February 25–27, 2014 | 391 | ± 6% | 46% | 44% | 5% | 5% |
| St. Pete Polls | February 25, 2014 | 1,269 | ± 2.8% | 45.6% | 45.9% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | February 17–18, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 44% | 42% | — | 14% |
| St. Pete Polls | February 12, 2014 | 1,130 | ± 2.9% | 46.2% | 44% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| St. Leo University | February 9–11, 2014 | 400 | ± 5% | 37% | 46% | 12% | 5% |
| Braun Research | February 4–9, 2014 | 603 | ± 4% | 35% | 42% | 4% | 14% |
| DCCC | January 24, 2014 | 527 | ± 4.3% | 45% | 49% | — | 6% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | January 16–19, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 38% | 4% | 15% |
| St. Pete Polls | January 15, 2014 | 1,278 | ± 2.7% | 47% | 42.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% |
| St. Pete Polls | December 3, 2013 | 1,128 | ± 2.9% | 36.3% | 49% | 5.6% | 8.8% |
| St. Pete Polls | November 18, 2013 | 1,252 | ± 2.8% | 34.9% | 49.3% | — | 15.7% |
| St. Pete Polls | November 5, 2013 | 1,079 | ± 3% | 31% | 51.5% | — | 17.5% |
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More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Baker (R) |
Jessica Ehrlich (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls | October 15, 2013 | 1,741 | ± 2.3% | 34.6% | 30.7% | 34.7% |
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Baker (R) |
Alex Sink (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls | October 15, 2013 | 1,741 | ± 2.3% | 34.0% | 50.8% | 15.2% |
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mark Bircher (R) |
Alex Sink (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls | December 3, 2013 | 1,128 | ± 2.9% | 30.2% | 50.4% | 12.1% |
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Neil Brickfield (R) |
Alex Sink (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls | November 5, 2013 | 1,079 | ± 3% | 30.1% | 51.2% | 18.8% |
| St. Pete Polls | October 15, 2013 | 1,741 | ± 2.3% | 24.0% | 56.6% | 19.4% |
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Frank Hibbard (R) |
Alex Sink (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls | November 5, 2013 | 1,079 | ± 3% | 30.7% | 51.6% | 17.7% |
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kathleen Peters (R) |
Alex Sink (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls | December 3, 2013 | 1,128 | ± 2.9% | 34.6% | 47.7% | 12.2% |
| St. Pete Polls | November 18, 2013 | 1,252 | ± 2.8% | 30.7% | 49.7% | 19.6% |
Close
Hypothetical polling
Results
More information Party, Candidate ...
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | David Jolly | 89,167 | 48.52% | -9.05% | |
| Democratic | Alex Sink | 85,673 | 46.62% | +4.19% | |
| Libertarian | Lucas Overby | 8,919 | 4.86% | N/A | |
| n/a | Michael S. Levinson (write-in) | 13 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Total votes | '183,772' | '100.0%' | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Close
- Alex Isenstadt (October 18, 2013). "Bill Young, longest-serving House Republican, dies". Politico. Retrieved October 19, 2013.
- Abby Livingston (October 30, 2013). "Florida House Special-Election Date Scheduled". Roll Call. Archived from the original on November 1, 2013. Retrieved October 30, 2013.
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- Kucinich, Jackie (November 22, 2013). In Fla., late Rep. Young’s purple-trending district will test waters for 2014 midterms. The Washington Post.
- The Hill
- CNN
- Orlando Sentinel
- New York Magazine
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- Larry J. Sabato; Kyle Kondik (March 12, 2014). "The Limited Meaning of Florida's Special House Election". Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball.
- Nathan L. Gonzales (March 10, 2014). "Why Florida's 13th District Special Election Is Still a Tossup". The Rothenberg Political Report.
- Sean Trende (March 11, 2014). "What Should We Read Into FL-13? Maybe Nothing". RealClearPolitics.
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- Curtis Krueger (November 19, 2013). "State Rep. Kathleen Peters enters Pinellas congressional race, creating a GOP contest". Tampa Bay Times.
- "Rick Baker won't run for Young's seat, but David Jolly will". Tampa Bay Times. November 2, 2013. Retrieved November 2, 2013.
- Curtis Krueger (November 18, 2013). "State Rep. Peters files paperwork for Pinellas congressional seat, plans announcement for Tuesday". Tampa Bay Times.
- Peter Schorsch (November 10, 2013). "Rick Baker endorses David Jolly in special election for Congressional District 13". SaintPetersBlog. Archived from the original on November 13, 2013. Retrieved November 11, 2013.
- "Safety Harbor Mayor Ayoub not running for Congress and so far not supporting GOP candidate David Jolly". November 13, 2012. Archived from the original on November 14, 2013. Retrieved November 13, 2013.
- Peter Schorsch (November 2, 2013). "Former St. Pete mayor Rick Baker announcing he is NOT running for Congressional District 13". SaintPetersBlog.
- Peter Schorsch (November 2, 2013). "Former Pinellas Commissioner Brickfield will not run for Congress". Tampa Bay Times.
- Curtis Krueger (November 2, 2013). "Who's in, who's out in race for Rep. C.W. Bill Young's seat". Tampa Bay Times. Archived from the original on November 4, 2013. Retrieved November 3, 2013.
- Curtis Krueger (November 7, 2013). "Pinellas Sheriff Bob Gualtieri says no to congressional run". Tampa Bay Times.
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- Peter Schorsch (October 22, 2013). "CD 13 aspirant Nick Zoller tells me he won't run in special election; wants Beverly Young to complete term". SaintPetersBlog.
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- Derby, Kevin (February 10, 2014). "Marco Rubio Showcases Support for David Jolly Against Alex Sink". Sunshine State News - Florida Political News.
- "Tribune endorsement: David Jolly for U.S. House District 13". Tampa Tribune. February 9, 2014. Archived from the original on March 6, 2016. Retrieved February 21, 2014.
- Jed Ziggler (January 13, 2014). "Gary Johnson endorses Lucas Overby". Independent Political Report.
- Adam C. Smith (February 23, 2014). "Republican endorses Alex Sink". Tampa Bay Times. Archived from the original on February 28, 2014. Retrieved February 24, 2014.
- "Times recommends: Alex Sink for U.S. House". Tampa Bay Times. February 7, 2014. Retrieved February 9, 2014.